Saturday, June 18, 2022

6/18/22 Woodbine Late Pick Four - Preview

“I'd seen John around—in the chip shop, on the bus, that sort of thing—and thought he looked quite cool, but would we have ever talked?  I don't know.  As it happened, though, I had a school friend who knew John.  And then I also happened to share a bus journey with George to school.  All these small coincidences had to happen to make the Beatles happen, and it does feel like some kind of magic.  It's one of the wonderful lessons about saying yes when life presents these opportunities to you.  You never know where they might lead.” - Paul McCartney

Horse Racing's Triple Crown Season has ended for 2022; but, of course, opportunities for success still abound. And, well, that's about all I've got by way of introduction.  So let's just get to it, as I take another un at The Late Pick Four at Woodbine.

RACE 7 - (F) MOC 25k - Seven and a Half Furlongs Inner Turf

A’s

# 8 Classic Queen (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 2 Vlognier (ML 10-1)
# 4 Victoria Elizabeth (ML 12-1)
# 6 Suspicious Minds (ML 3-1)
# 9 Goldstorm Glory (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Forest Vixen (ML 8-1)
# 3 Frac Tales (ML 20-1)
# 7 Laila's Charm (ML 12-1)
#10 Nadiablizniz (ML 20-1)
# 11 High Treason (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 5 Body of Law (ML 10-1), as well as all the Also Eligibles: # 12 Skinny Dippin (ML 15-1); # 13 Blue Twirlin (ML 9-5); # 14 Stole the Ring (ML 20-1); # 15 Smarty Illusion (ML 7-2); and # 16 Loaded Secret (ML 4-1)

For those who note such things, Frac Tales is the only runner in this field that will be leaving the gate without the $25k price tag on her head.

Classic Queen has taken the Show at this class level in each of her prior two starts.  Vlognier showed less than nothing in her debut last time out; but it's not unusual for Julia Carey trained runners to make a big move forward in their second career start.

Victoria Elizabeth is a first time starter in a field without a standout.  Also take note of Victoria Elizabeth's work on the grass on June 3.

Suspicious Minds finished in the Trifecta at this class level two and three starts back.  Goldstorm Glory may wake up with the class drop.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - (F) OClm 10k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Cheeky Pint (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 4 Call Her Joey (ML 5-2)
# 8 Pluie d'Avril (ML 10-1)

C's

# 2 Ami's Link (ML 6-1)
# 3 Endorphin Rush (ML 3-1)
# 6 Crumblin Time (ML 8-1)
# 7 Anita Grigio (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 1 Cocotara (ML 20-1)

This contest is a Starter Optional Claimer; an Optional Claimer / Starter Allowance hybrid, if you will.  A distaff runner is eligible to compete here tag free if she has started for a claiming price of $5k or less this year or last.  Otherwise, an entrant will be eligible to be claimed for $10k.  For those who note such things, Ami's Link and Pluie d'Avril are the only two runners in here that cannot be claimed for the $10k price tag.

Cheeky Pint took the Show at this class level last time out, and Cheeky Pint has run well in her career on the turf.  Call Her Joey, making her 2022 debut, looks well meant here.

Pluie d'Avril took the Show at this class level last time out, and Pluie d'Avril has run well in the the past when stretching out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - (F) OC 40k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Basalt Street (ML 6-1)

B's

# 2 Dixie Morning (ML 2-1)
# 3 Verdejo (ML 5-2)

C's

# 1 American Gamble (ML 8-1)
# 4 Fourteen Days (ML 20-1)
# 6 Silent Ghost (ML 10-1)
# 7 Veery (ML 3-1)

Note that these entrants have visited the Winner's Circle just once in each of their respective careers.  Those that will be competing with the $40k price tag on their head are Verdejo, Basalt Street, and Silent Ghost.

Basalt Street ships in from Louisiana and will be competing on a synthetic surface for the first time.  Basalt Street's work over this main track at the beginning of the month suggests that she'll do quite well handling the fake stuff.

Dixie Morning took the Place at this class level while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite last time out.  Verdejo should appreciate the class drop.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 10 - Md $15k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 Free Shipping (ML 3-1)

B's

# 7 The Band Coming (ML 12-1)
# 8 Solis (ML 8-1)
# 11 Linmighty (ML 10-1)

C's

# 1 Hayroll (ML 20-1)
# 2 Why Not Bourbon (ML 12-1)
# 3 Suigu (ML 4-1)
# 5 Mr. Commish (ML 20-1)
# 6 Quiet Rebel (ML 15-1)
# 9 Late Surge (ML 6-1)
# 10 Lil Bit Gangsta (ML 5-1)

Free Shipping is out to prove that the sixteenth time's the charm.  Free Shipping has finished in the Trifecta against more expensive stock, and this is the lowest price for which Free Shipping has ever competed.

The Band Coming could improve with the stretch out.  Solis could move up with the class drop.  Linmighty might prove that grass was what he wanted all along.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 8 with 5 with 5 with 4 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P4: 2,4,6,8,9 with 4,5,8 with 2,3,5 with 4,7,8,11 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.20 P4: 1,3,7,10,11 with 5 with 5 with 4 $1.00
$0.20 P4: 8 with 2,3,6,7 with 5 with 4 $0.80
$0.20 P4: 8 with 5 with 1,4,6,7 with 4 $0.80
$0.20 P4: 8 with 5 with 5 with 1,2,3,5,6,9,10 $1.40

Total: $41.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 4:18 EDT / 1:18 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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