Saturday, March 25, 2023

3/25/23 Bayou Bluegrass Five - Results

FG Race 9 - The New Orleans Classic - # 3 West Will Power (Final Odds 2.60) - "C+" Selection
TP Race 11 - The Bourbonette Oaks - # 5 Botanical (1.03*) - "A" Selection
FG Race 11 - The Fair Grounds Oaks - # 1 Southlawn (7.70) - "C" Selection
TP Race 12 - The Jeff Ruby Steaks - # 10 Two Phil's (2.82) - "B" Selection
FG Race 12 - The Louisiana Derby - # 6 Kingsbarns (4.50) - "C+" Selection

In retrospect, it's possible that the decision to make # 5 Rattle N Roll (11.50) a single in the New Orleans Classic may have been influenced a bit more by greed than analysis.  After all, getting odds greater than 10-1 on a Grade 1 winner is a temptation that is difficult to resist; especially when you're convinced that the odds-on Favorite is vulnerable; a conviction which proved correct, as # 2 Art Collector (0.80*) was a well beaten second, taking the Place more than four lengths in back of the winner.  Still, perhaps a place should have been found for West Will Power on the main ticket.

My belief that those with the budget to do so would do well to go "ALL" in the Fair Grounds Oaks was justified when Southlawn garnered the victory in a field of five where all but one had lower odds than she.  Still, even if I could go back in time and include West Will Power on the main ticket in the opening leg, and buy the third leg of the sequence, I'm not all that confident that I would have foreseen the lightly raced Kingsbarns walking the dog on the front end (24.71 / 49.60) to easily win the Louisiana Derby.  So I'm going to mark this sequence down as one that just wasn't meant to be.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Five sequence of  3 / 5 / 1 / 10 / 6  were rewarded with a payout of $1,777.65 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless all who profited as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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