Saturday, May 6, 2023

5/6/23 Churchill Downs Kentucky Derby Pick Four - Preview

“Anyone who isn’t confused really doesn’t understand the situation.” - Edward R. Murrow

I think I can safely say without fear of contradiction that 2023 has had the wildest week leading into the Kentucky Derby of this century; perhaps in my lifetime.  From the suspension of Trainer Saffie Joseph, Jr. to the race day scratch of Morning Line Favorite # 15 Forte (ML 3-1) there has been a lot happening in Louisville, KY these past few days.

Since pretty much all the prep work I did earlier this week had to be tossed and re-done, there really isn't time for typing out a full analysis of each leg.  I'll simply point out that, like 99.44% of those playing this Pick Four pool, # 7 Cody's Wish (ML 4-5) in Race 10, the Grade 1 Churchill Downs, is my big ticket single.  In the next leg, Race 11, the Grade 1 Turf Classic, I punched the "ALL" button, because I don't have a clue what's going on in that race.

So with that I give you here my Selections, in beautiful living color:









And here, using a variation of the Crist method, are how those Selections translate into tickets:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 7 with 9 with 22 $1.00

All A Entries with All B+ Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 7 with 5,9 with 8,14,22 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,5,8,11 with 7 with ALL with 5,6,8,14,17,22 $96.00

A's and B+'s with One C+

$0.50 P4: 4 with 7 with 5,9 with 8,14,22 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5,6 with 5,9 with 8,14,22 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 7 with 5,9 with 1,3 $2.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 7,13,14 with 7 with 9 with 22 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 10,11 with 9 with 22 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 7 with 9 with 2,4,7,11,12,13,16,18,21,23 $5.00

Total: $121.50

Post Time for Race 9 is 3:40 EDT / 12:40 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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