RACE 4 - [S] (F) ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A's
# 2 Lily Kai (Morning Line 8-5)
B's
#4 Almost Reality (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Chalk of the Town (ML 9-2)
# 7 Colored Crayon (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 9 Scathing (ML 20-1)
Lily Kai's form on turf routes has been showing steady improvement, and a repeat of either of her past two efforts should get the job down here today. Almost Reality wanted no part of the fast dirt track last time out, and should improve with the return to grass today.
Chalk of the Town looks like she prefers the synthetic to the turf, and it won't help her cause that there doesn't seem to be much pace for her to chase in this field; but Chalk of the Town does fit on class, and therefore must be considered. Colored Crayon has been successful on this turf course in the past, albeit against much weaker competition.
RACE 5 - Clm $16k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 U S Citizen (ML 8-5)
B’s
# 2 Betting McCann Can (ML 4-1)
C's
# 3 Saint Prado (ML 3-1)
# 6 A Toast to You (ML 7-2)
U S Citizen took the Place against more expensive last time out. Betting McCann Can returns to competition after being on the shelf for a little over a year; Trainer John Martin tends to do well with such. A Toast to You won at this class level two starts back, with Saint Prado less than a length behind at the wire.
RACE 6 - [S] The Silky Sullivan $100k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Tough It Out (ML 5-2)
B's
# 9 Record Highs (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Glory Bound (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 5 Rye (ML 20-1)
Tough It Out, trained by Phil D'Amato, took The Echo Eddie in the slop last time out. Tough It Out was victorious in his only prior turn start. Record Highs, trained by Carla Gaines, took the Place against older state bred Allowance company in his only prior turf start; Glory Bound, trained by Craig Dollase, took the Show in that contest, about a length and a half behind Record Highs.
RACE 7 - Clm $32k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Infinite Magic (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Argyle Cut (ML 5-1)
# 2 Foxtrot Romeo (Ire) (ML 6-5)
C's
# 3 Spud Spivens (ML 8-1)
# 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 8-1)
# 6 Unusual Meeting (ML 12-1)
Infinite Magic seems to prefer the grass to the fake stuff; but Infinite Magic has finished in the Exacta in half of his career starts on synthetic, and he certainly fits here on class.
Argyle Cut and Foxtrot Romeo (Ire) have certainly shown an aversion to the Winner's Circle in their respective careers, with a combined record of four-for-sixty-one. But they are on paper the best two horses in this contest, and if it comes down to these two at the wire, one of them will have to win.
Spud Spivens, Press Baron (GB), and Unusual Meeting comprise the rest of the field. They're on the ticket because, with the Argyle Cut and Foxtrot Romeo both being camera shy, this one could get chaotic.
RACE 8 - [S] The Silky Sullivan $100k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Allsquare (ML 3-1)
# 8 How Unusual (ML 4-1)
# 11 Patriotic Diamond (ML 8-1)
B's
None
C's
# 6 Hactivism (ML 9-2)
# 7 Be a Lady (ML 6-1)
Allsquare, trained by Phil D'Amato, has finished in the Trifecta in each of her three tries on the turf. How Unusual gets some much needed class relief here. Patriotic Diamond took the Place behind Pacific Heat in her only prior try on the grass.
Hacktivism graduated against Allsquare last time out, after having finished behind that one in her prior turf start. Be a Lady looks to be the main speed here, and may try to smoke the grass before the others can get into high gear.
RACE 9 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 10 Ihearditallbefore (ML 3-1)
# 11 Alamo Pintado (ML 4-1)
B's
# 7 Tiz Mama's Boy (ML 6-1)
# 9 Cape Flattery (ML 5-1)
C's
# 6 Kiwi Attitude (ML 8-1)
Ihearditallbefore has been showing steady improvement as he has been working his way down the class ladder for Trainer Steve Sherman. Alamo Pintado drops way down in class while making his first start for the barn of Trainer John Martin, who wins over a third of the time that he sends out new transferees.
Tiz Mama's Boy took the Place at this class level two starts back; on the same day in a different contest, Cape Flattery took the Show at this class level against a next out winner. Kiwi Attitude took the Show against more expensive while routing on the Santa Anita main track two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket. While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up. So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 2 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 5,8,11 with 10,11 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 4,9 with 1,2,4 with 5,8,11 with 7,9,10,11 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 6,7 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 5,8,11 with 10,11 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 2 with 3,6 with 4 with 4 with 5,8,11 with 10,11 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 2 with 5 with 3 with 4 with 5,8,11 with 10,11 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 2 with 5 with 4 with 3,5,6 with 5,8,11 with 10,11 $3.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 6,7 with 10,11 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 5,8,11 with 6 $0.60
Total: $74.60
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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