Jeff G said it best in his comment to the previous post:
"Almost a very good day...."
We begin with the two races that we analyzed but did not make part of our play. Race 7 - The Shakertown saw # 5 Havelock (Final Odds 8.30) perform as if spurred on to prove my comments wrong, making a mad dash for the finish line to be up just in time in front of Place horse # 1 Something Extra (2.40) in a blanket finish. How close was the field at the wire? Fifth place finisher # 6 Next Question (6.40) was only a half length behind Havelock at the wire. In an interview on NBC after the race, Havelock's Trainer Darrin Miller was effusive in his praise for Jockey Garrett Gomez's performance in this event; and rightly so, as Gomez demonstrated why he is one of the best (if not in fact the best) in the country on turf, finding the hole and hitting the wire just in time to grab the prize.
We decided that Race 8 - The Madison was the epitome of a chaos race, and it's fair to say that events proved us correct; as the winner was the second longest shot on the board, # 5 Last Full Measure (17.80), while the Post Time favorite. # 10 Fantasy of Flight (3.10), finished 8th, more than thirteen lengths back. If you were sharp enough to work out the Superfecta of # 5 Last Full Measure / # 1 Byrama (4.70) / # 6 Jamaican Smoke (3.50) / # 8 Drama Drama (14.80) you were rewarded with a $481.29 payout for your ten cent wager.
Race 9 - The Jenny Wiley began our play in both the Pick Four and the Pick Three, and saw our lone "A" selection in the race, # 1 Centre Court (1.70) win by a comfortable two lengths over one of our two "C" selections, # 8 Daisy Devine (3.60). For the record, the # 1 Centre Court / # 8 Daisy Devine Exacta was worth $12.30 for a one dollar wager.
Race 10 - The Blue Grass saw another of our "A" selections, # 4 Java's War (4.60) run his way into a berth in this year's Kentucky Derby, finishing a neck in front of # 5 Palace Malice (4.90). I should note here that in my analysis I picked the wrong Kitten, as the Todd Pletcher trained # 8 Charming Kitten (22.20) took the Show, just a half length behind the winner; while the Kitten that I preferred, # 14 Fear the Kitten (36.40) ended up two slots further down the chart in fifth.
As the wagering opened for Race 11 it soon became clear that this may not be my day; as a horse that I had discussed and dismissed, # 2 Mezzano (2.10) was in the process of being bet down from a Morning Line of 10-1 to be the Post Time Favorite. Sure enough, Mezzano would go on to win for fun, finishing a comfortable four and a half lengths ahead of one of our two "A" selections in the race, # 1 Dubious Miss (3.80), and leaving me wondering if I would be getting flowers the next day, or a dinner invite, or, at the very least, a phone call.
Race 12, the finale on the Keeneland card, saw another of our "A" selections finish first, as # 5 Liz Pendens (2.50) was able to cross the wire a nose in front of first time starter # 2 Allegheny Angel (13.80).
So there it is. Our $0.50 Pick Three ticket ends up with two out of three winners, while our $1.00 Pick Four ticket hits on three of the four legs. As you already know, both tickets paid the same amount.
Meanwhile, the correct Pick Three sequence in Races 9 - 11 of 1 / 4 / 2 paid $40.55 for a fifty cent wager, while the correct Pick Four sequence in Races 9 - 12 of 1 / 4 / 2 / 5 paid $203.15 for a fifty cent wager ($406.30 for a one dollar bet). May God bless all those who had it.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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