RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Bluegrass Reward (Morning Line 8-1)
B's
# 3 Senor Rain (ML 5-1)
# 6 Gilligan (ML 9-2)
# 8 Shun (ML 3-1)
C’s
# 9 Dress Code (ML 6-1)
Bluegrass Reward won at this class level at today's distance two starts back at Santa Anita. Bluegrass Reward has won two of his last three starts on a fast dirt track.
Senor Rain has shown himself to be competitive at this class level, and is one-for-two lifetime over this main track. Gilligan ships in from upstate, where he has been facing more expensive stock. Shun won at this class level last time out, albeit over the plastic at Del Mar. Dress Code gets some much needed class relief.
RACE 7 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Mojo Street (ML 20-1)
# 3 Eckersley (ML 3-1)
# 5 Nob Hill (ML 4-1)
B's
None
C’s
# 6 Pocketball (ML 5-1)
# 9 Bentley's Gone (ML 6-1)
# 10 Big Hat Charlie (ML 5-1)
Mojo Street is by Street Boss, whose progeny do very well at first asking. Mojo Street also shows a workout pattern going back to September with no serious gaps. Eckersley is by Congrats, whose progeny do reasonably well in their debuts.
Nob Hill, trained by Bob Baffert, lacks the bullet works that we've come to expect from Baffert starters, and there's also a pretty noticeable gap between Oct 10 and Nov 7. In addition, Nob Hill is sired by Curlin, who famously did not race as a juvenile. But Curlin's get have not done poorly in their debuts (and, while I haven't done the research myself, I suspect the numbers look even better once the Del Mar polytrack runners are backed out), and the connections must have seen something in this colt to get them to fork over $700k at auction back in May.
Pocketball goes up the class ladder; but he did show speed on the polytrack at Del Mar in his debut last month, and that speed should carry over to this dirt track. Bentley's Gone shows a steady workout pattern, and the debuting runners by his sire, Warrior's Reward, tend to do well. Big Hat Charlie has shown some early speed in his two prior contests, and he has the best Tomlinson Rating for the distance in this field.
RACE 8 - OC 40k/N$Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Conscience (ML 5-1)
# 6 Ranulf (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Reno Rebel (ML 6-1)
# 7 Brando the Birdman (ML 6-1)
C’s
None
Like Race 7 yesterday, the "Y" in the conditions seems out of place. Treat this one like an OC / N1X.
Conscience comes back after an approximate ten week vacation; Trainer Tom Proctor does quite well with such. Ranulf is two-for-four lifetime on a fast dirt track, as well as finishing in the Trifecta in all six lifetime starts at today's distance.
Reno Rebel won a listed stakes two starts back at today's distance over the fast dirt track at Stockton. Reno Rebel also broke his maiden on the fast dirt at Santa Anita. Brando the Birdman is two-for-two lifetime when competing on a fast dirt track, and is the only entrant in this contest with a win over this race course.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 11 Flyin for a Livin (ML 7-5)
B's
# 3 Bea's Bench (ML 4-1)
# 4 Council Talk (ML 5-1)
C’s
Conscience comes back after an approximate ten week vacation; Trainer Tom Proctor does quite well with such. Ranulf is two-for-four lifetime on a fast dirt track, as well as finishing in the Trifecta in all six lifetime starts at today's distance.
Reno Rebel won a listed stakes two starts back at today's distance over the fast dirt track at Stockton. Reno Rebel also broke his maiden on the fast dirt at Santa Anita. Brando the Birdman is two-for-two lifetime when competing on a fast dirt track, and is the only entrant in this contest with a win over this race course.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 11 Flyin for a Livin (ML 7-5)
B's
# 3 Bea's Bench (ML 4-1)
# 4 Council Talk (ML 5-1)
C’s
# 2 Paralyzing Eyes (ML 20-1)
Flyin for a Livin has taken the Show in two of her last three races, both against non-claiming state bred maidens. The Beyer Speed Figure that Flyin for a Livin earned in her last dirt start would almost definitely get the job done today.
Bea's Bench and Council Talk have both finished in the money the last two times that they've competed at this class level in their respective contests. Paralyzing Eyes has the second best career Beyer Speed Figure in this field for this race track; besides, how cool would it be to cash a Late Pick Four ticket because the career maiden that we've been following since her debut was to finally win?
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in the abbreviated Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$0.50 P4: 1 with 2,3,5 with 4,6 with 11 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,6,8 with 2,3,5 with 1,4,6,7 with 3,4,11 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 9 with 2,3,5 with 4,6 with 11 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 6,9,10 with 4,6 with 11 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 2,3,5 with 4,6 with 2 $3.00
Total: $84.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:50 EST / 2:50 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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