Saturday, March 18, 2017

3/18/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

The Camilla Urso, a six furlong sprint for older fillies and mares, is Saturday's featured race at Golden Gate Fields.  We'll be taking a look at that contest below, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - (F) Clm $22.5k N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Hekawi (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Better in Leather (ML 2-1)

C's

# 5 Tricked Again (ML 4-1)
# 6 Hotter Than Sinn (ML 9-2)

Better in Leather and Hekawai took the Place and Show, respectively, in the same last out contest at today's class level.  I'm giving the edge to Hekawi today because Better in Leather has again drawn the rail, which means that, with her late running style, Better in Leather may find herself having to swing wide once again in order to find running room in the stretch.

Tricked Again has proven competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.  Hotter Than Sinn moves up in class, but could be quick enough to be a pace presence at least, and perhaps the once getting first run at the leaders.

RACE 5 - Clm $40k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Letithappen (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 1 Administer (ML 3-1)
# 3 Cartoonist (ML 5-2)
# 6 Holdthismiss (ML 4-1)

C's

# 4 Yahoo Tahoe (ML 5-1)
# 5 Awesome Silver (ML 6-1)

Letithappen was victorious at this class level two starts back; last time out Letithappen missed by less than a length against Allowance N1X company.  Administer won ath this class level two starts back.  Cartoonist defeated several of these last time out, albeit by getting away with an easy early lead.

Holdthismiss had to settle for the Place against cheaper last time out; but Holdthismiss has proven in the past to be competitive at today's level.  Yahoo Tahoe fits well at this class level, but has been settling for too many minor awards.  Awesome Silver is on the ticket because everyone else in this contest is.

RACE 6 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Gotham Desire (ML 1-1)

B’s

# 3 Dumont (ML 4-1)

C's

None

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass for having one (and just one) win against winners, provided that win was for $16k or less.  Dumont is the only runner here that has visited the Winner's Circle twice; all other entrants in this contest have just one career Win.

Gotham Desire did pretty much everything that you could ask a first time starter to do last time out, running down the pacesetter and winning by the length of the stretch.  Even a slightly lesser effort than that should be enough to give Gotham Desire another victory today.  But in addition to facing winners for the first time today, this will be Gotham Desire's first try around two turns.  So while it means doubling the cost of our big ticket, I think it's prudent to use two in this leg; which is why Dumont, who won at today's class level two starts back, is being used as a "B" Selection.

RACE 7 - (F) The Camilia Urso $50k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Fast And Foxy (ML 8-5)

B's

None

C's

# 3 Turkish Tabby (ML 8-1)
# 7 Code Warrior (ML 7-2)


Scratch # 1 Precious Time (ML 10-1) and # 8 Calm The Sea (ML 20-1)

Fast And Foxy has proven herself the best of this bunch multiple times; so if Fast And Foxy runs her race today, she wins.  Turkish Tabby might catch her today if everything breaks right; while Code Warrior was able to take the Place in front of Fast And Foxy's Show finish three starts back.

RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 1 Undeniable U (ML 7-2)
# 8 Taelyns Prince (ML 6-1)

B's

# 5 Small Town Cop (ML 3-1)

C's

# 7 Shackleford Banks (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 3 He's a Pepper (ML 6-1)

Undeniable U ships in from downstate, going first time for the barn of Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.  Taelyns Prince has proven to be competitive at today's class level, and could work out a nice stalking trip today.

Small Town Cop has taken the Place at today's class level in two of his last three starts.  Shackleford Banks could improve with the cutback in distance.

RACE 9 - Clm $3.2k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 7 Weirdhaircut Seth (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 1 Go Mojave Go (ML 9-5)
# 5 Rox the Fox (ML 6-1)
# 8 Whilly Pink (ML 9-2)

C's

# 4 Darcurts Hope (ML 20-1)

This contest is open to runners which have not won two races in 2016-2017 (So shouldn't this be N2Y instead of N2X?  Oh well; no time to argue).

Weirdhaircut Seth missed by just a neck at today's class level last time out.  Go Mojave Go has taken the Place against classier foes in each of his last two races; but Go Mojave Go has been absent from the Winner's Circle for quite some time.

Rox the Fox could wake up with the class drop.  Whilly Pink has been on the bench for a while, but Whilly Pink has been working well for this contest.  Darcurts Hope took the Show at this class level last time out; though last time out was over eleven months ago.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with all that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 3 with 2 with 1 with 5 with 1,8 with 7 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 1,2,3,6 with 1,3 with 5 with 1,5,8 with 1,5,7,8 $38.40

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 5,6 with 2 with 1 with 5 with 1,8 with 7 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3 with 4,5 with 1 with 5 with 1,8 with 7 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 1 with 3,7 with 1,8 with 7 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 1 with 5 with 7 with 7 $0.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 1 with 5 with 1,8 with 4 $0.40

Total: $43.40

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:19 EDT / 2:19 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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