"A smooth sea never made a skilled sailor." - Franklin D. Roosevelt
As promised in Saturday's preview, we'll be focusing on the final four contests on the program while we allow time for the Golden Pick Six jackpot to build back up (for those interested, Saturday's Golden Pick Six paid out $53.12 for a twenty cent wager). So with that let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place where the Bay comes to play.
RACE 6 - Clm $3.2k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Rock 'n On Home (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Outthink'em (ML 9-2)
# 3 Trelawny (ML 9-5)
C's
# 5 Lota Spunk (ML 10-1)
# 7 Fort Cady (ML 6-1)
Rock 'n On Home dead heated with a next out winner last time out in a contest that can be viewed as equal in class to today's race (the claiming price was higher, but that contest was conditioned, while today's is open). Trelawny was the Show horse in that contest; but, unlike Rock 'n On Home, Trelawny has competed and won since that race.
Outthink'em goes first off the claim for Trainer Jack Steiner, who does very well with such. Lota Spunk missed victory by just a head (while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite) two starts back. Fort Cady may impove cutting back to one turn racing.
RACE 7 - MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 Atta Boy Bear (ML 1-1)
B's
# 2 Soolalmon (ML 10-1)
C's
# 7 The Ice Box Kid (ML 7-2)
Races 7 and 9 are two divisions of the same event, having as they do identical conditions while being run over the same distance.
We're once again giving Atta Boy Bear, who has taken the Place at this class level in each of his three career starts, another chance to make us look like fools by giving him the top spot on our ticket. If Atta Boy Bear runs to his true talent level, he wins. Otherwise, Soolamon and The Ice Box Kid look like the two first time starters most likely to pull the upset.
RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Exactamente (ML 6-1)
# 7 Pretty Emma (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Reverchon (ML 12-1)
# 3 Aly's Last Magic (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Crimson Cloud (ML 5-2)
# 4 Sea Myrtle (ML 6-1)
# 5 Dame Street (ML 2-1)
Exactamente took the Show at this class level last time out. Pretty Emma took the Place behind a next out winner last time out.
Toss Reverchon's last outing; prior to that contest Reverchon was showing a nice, steady pattern of improvement. Aly's Last Magic defeater cheaper last time out, and now goes first off the claim for Trainer Bill Delia, who tends to do well with such.
Crimson Cloud has proven to be competitive at this class level, albeit considerably camera shy. Sea Myrtle is on the ticket because everyone else is. Dame Street took the Place against more expensive two starts back, but doesn't appear to be in top form.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Sharkzilla (ML 2-1)
# 7 Robs Lucky Spirit (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Tiz Jims (ML 20-1)
# 6 Regal Born (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 Elegant Tanner (ML 4-1)
# 2 Ceesway (ML 20-1)
# 5 Silken Chief (ML 3-1)
Races 7 and 9 are two divisions of the same event, having as they do identical conditions while being run over the same distance.
Sharkzilla took the Show at this class level (behind Race 7's Atta Boy Bear) last time out, with Robs Lucky Spirit (in his debut) crossing under the wire less than a length behind. Tiz Jims, also making his debut, was in that event as well, and flashed some good early foot before fading.
Regal Born looks to be the best of the first time starters, who round out the ticket. Silken Chief perhaps should rate higher; but the concern with Silken Chief is that he seems to need an extended recovery time whenever he records a sharp work.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 5 with 6,7 with 4,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4 with 2,5 with 1,3,6,7 with 3,4,6,7 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,7 with 5 with 6,7 with 4,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 7 with 6,7 with 4,7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 2,4,5 with 4,7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 6,7 with 1,2,5 $3.00
Total: $64.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:19 EDT / 3:19 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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