“Each problem has hidden in it an opportunity so powerful that it literally dwarfs the problem. The greatest success stories were created by people who recognized a problem and turned it into an opportunity.” - Joseph Sugarman
The past two Saturdays have seen the Pick Six jackpot get scooped at Golden Gate; and while I've done no research on the subject, I suspect that some sort of record would be broken were it to happen again for the third week in a row. And so, with that as backdrop, let's get to it, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.
RACE 4 - Clm $6.25k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Saint Adalbert (Morning Line 5-2)
B's
# 1 Synnin (ML 3-1)
# 6 Gold Chaser (ML 9-5)
C's
None
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race in 2017; OR
2) Have not won four races in their career.
Excepting claiming and starter races for $5k or less; they don't count.
So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have been in 2017 in order for the horse to be entered here.
Saint Adalbert found six furlongs a bridge too far last time out, and should improve with the reduction in real estate that he'll need to cover. One thing that is almost certain is that Saint Adalbert is the one that the others will have to catch if they want to win.
Synnin was victorious at this class level last time out. Gold Chaser is taking a huge drop down the class ladder, and looks to be the one that will be running best late.
RACE 5 - Clm $3.2k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Fort Cady (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 4 Misdeed (ML 5-2)
# 6 Lota Spunk (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Mr. Cartagena (ML 3-1)
Fort Cady may have needed that last one, his first competitive action in 2017; and the fact that Fort Cady flashed some nice early foot in that contest suggests that he may be fully conditioned off the freshening.
Misdeed was a winner last time out for a higher claiming price but with conditions; consider this a sideways move on the class ladder. Lota Spunk was victorious at this class level two starts back. Mr. Cartegena seems to be just a stride or two below the top contenders here, though he is certainly capable of winning at this level.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 Upended (ML 1-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Ravizzone (ML 4-1)
# 6 Happy Issue (ML 6-1)
Upended closed well against classier foes last time out (note that even though these are unrestricted claimers, Upended and Happy Issue are the only two runners in this contest with multiple victories, with two apiece). Ravizzone took the Place in front of Happy Issue last time out; Happy Issue followed up that contest with a win at this class level.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Arabesque (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Red City Zip (ML 3-1)
# 3 Call Your Bluff (ML 12-1)
# 4 Lucky Christiana (ML 5-1)
# 5 What a Ten (ML 10-1)
# 7 Eccentric Spinster (ML 4-1)
# 8 I'm Passing Ya Now (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 6 Irish Luck (ML 12-1)
Arabesque missed graduation by just a neck last time out at this class level, making it the fourth time in five tries that Arabesque has settled for the Place. Arabesque is certainly the best horse in this field; and perhaps today is the day that she figures it out. But should Arabesque once again decide to cross the wire behind another runner, then this contest becomes open to anyone, as a legitimate case could be made for each of the other entrants in this field.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Shari (ML 8-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Tiz Deliteful (ML 3-1)
# 5 She's Not a Lemon (ML 6-1)
Shari took the Show in the California Oaks last time out, and was victorious at this class level (via DQ) back in December. Tiz Deliteful took the Place at this class level two and three starts back, and is stretching out to two turns for the first time. She's Not a Lemon tries winners for the first time after graduating last time out; Trainer Steve Miyadi tends to do well when placing his last out runners.
RACE 9 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Engram (ML 8-1)
# 6 Mr. Shook (ML 8-5)
B's
# 1 Satin Ruler (ML 15-1)
# 3 Mini Bar (ML 2-1)
C's
# 2 Gio Mio (ML 5-1)
# 5 Black Sona (ML 10-1)
Engram took the Show at this class level last time out, and should show more early interest today with the addition of blinkers. Mr. Shook is a first time starter trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and sired by Smart Strike, which suggests that he should be ready to roll. Mr. Shook has been working well over this main track.
Satin Ruler showed some early quickness in his debut last time out. Mini Bar missed graduation by a neck at this class level last time out.
Gio Mio has probably been placed here just to get some work off the bench, as he looks like he needs more distance to show his best. But Gio Mio has shown prior ability at this class level, and must be respected for that reason. Black Sona seems to have taken well to the synthetic surface, and may improve with the removal of the hood.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket. While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up. So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 2 with 2 with 5 with 2 with 2 with 4,6 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1,2,6 with 2,4,6 with 5 with ALL with 2 with 1,3,4,6 $50.40
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 2 with 3 with 5 with 2 with 2 with 4,6 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 1,6 with 2 with 2 with 4,6 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 5 with 2 with 1,5 with 4,6 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 5 with 2 with 2 with 2,5 $0.40
Total: $54.80
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:14 EDT / 2:14 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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