Staying in SoCal, but switching from early to late: taking a run at Sunday's Pick Four at Del Mar.
RACE 6 - Clm $25k - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 1 Too Fast to Pass (Morning Line 8-1)
# 3 Motown Men (ML 3-1)
# 7 Gladding (ML 7-2)
C's
# 6 Wildcat Moon (ML 6-1)
# 10 Magic Beam (ML 6-1)
Too Fast to Pass has been in the Trifecta both times that he's competed on the Del Mar main track. Too Fast to Pass is two-for-two in his career at today's distance, two-for-four on synthetic surfaces, and had a bullet work 7/28 over this main track.
Motown Men missed by a neck at this level at today's distance last time out. Motown Men won his only prior race over this main track, and had a bullet workout here 8/4. This will be Motown Men's first race since last November, but Trainer Phillip D'Amato wins over thirty-five percent of the time with runners coming back from a vacation of over six months.
Gladding drops in for the lowest price tag of his career; nothing suspicious, as his connections are simply trying to get him his first win since July 1, 2012. Gladding took the Show in his only prior start over this main track, but the 86 Beyer Speed Figure that he earned that day would certainly put him in the mix in today's contest.
Wildcat Moon was within a length of the winner in each of his last four starts, all at a higher class level than today's contest. Wildcat Moon took the Place in each of his two career races over this main track, and has finished in the money in nine of his eleven career starts on synthetics. You may choose to leave Wildcat Moon off your multi-race tickets, but you certainly want to be sure to use him in your vertical wagers.
Magic Beam is three-for-eight competing on the Del Mar main track, and has finished in the money all times but once in those eight races. Magic Beam owns the career best Beyer Speed Figure for this main track in today's field.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Diva Express (ML 3-1)
# 5 Maybellene (ML 7-2)
C’s
# 1 Manahatta (ML 5-2)
Diva Express and Maybellene finished second-third (respectively) in their mutual debut over this main track last month. If either repeats their performance that day today, they'll win.
Manahatta debuts for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who wins about a third of the time with such. Manahatta is by Old Fashioned, whose progeny win approximately fifteen percent of their initial tries. Note also the back-to-back bullet workouts over this main track on 7/31 and 8/6.
RACE 8 - The John C. Mabee (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Wishing Gate (ML 7-2)
# 6 Miss Serendipity (Arg) (ML 5-2)
C’s
# 2 Every Way (ML 6-1)
# 5 Moulin de Mougin (ML 8-1)
# 8 Stormy Lucy (ML 6-1)
# 9 Cozze Up Lady (ML 9-2)
Wishing Gate is two-for-four (with one Place) for her career on the Del Mar turf. Wishing Gate has a pair of Graded Stakes wins on the grass, though it should be noted that Gary Stevens, who will not be riding today, was on her back for both of those wins.
Miss Serendipity (Arg) won the Grade 1 Gamely her last time out at Santa Anita at today's distance. While Miss Serendipity has been ridden by today's rider, Rafael Bejarano, previously, and was also previously ridden by Gary Stevens, it should be noted that the only times that she has finished in the money in North America have been with Jockey Brice Blanc on her back.
Every Way has either won or been within a half length of the winner in each of her last five races. Expect Every Way to be forwardly placed early.
Moulin de Mougin, a daughter of Curlin, is the only multi-time winner at today's distance on the grass in this field.
Cozze Up Lady has won and taken the Show in her two career tries on the Del Mar turf. With the program scratch of # 4 Miss Ellany (Ire) Cozze Up Lady could find herself controlling the pace in the early going.
RACE 9 - Md $20k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Juliet's Tizzy (ML 5-2)
# 7 Intoclassymischief (ML 9-2)
C’s
# 11 Broadcaster (Ire) (ML 6-1)
Juliet's Tizzy goes first off the claim for Trainer Robertino Diodoro, who wins with nearly thirty percent of such. Juliet's Tizzy had a Place and a Show finish four and two starts back, respectively, against more expensive stock.
Intoclassymischief has demonstrated early speed in several of his previous races, including those against non-claiming Maidens. This will be the first start of the year for Intoclasssymischief; if he has matured during his time away from racing, he just may run these off their feet.
Broadcaster (Ire) proved that he didn't like the dirt his last time out. Broadcaster has shown himself to be competitive on the grass, so it's a jump ball as to whether or not he'll take to the Del Mar Polytrack.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets via the Crist method we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1,3,7 with 4,5 with 3,6 with 2,7 $24.00
$0.50 P4: 6,10 with 4,5 with 3,6 with 2,7 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 1,3,7 with 1 with 3,6 with 2,7 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 1,3,7 with 4,5 with 2,5,8,9 with 2,7 $24.00
$0.50 P4: 1,3,7 with 4,5 with 3,6 with 11 $6.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:30 EDT / 4:30 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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