RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 5 Tiz a Kiss (Morning Line 3-1)
# 10 Egyptian Empire (ML 15-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Frandontjudge (ML 7-2)
Neither of the two Also Eligibles, # 12 Lost Bus (ML 6-1) and # 13 Hanserella (ML 20-1) draw in.
Tiz a Kiss just missed winning at this class level by a head last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process. Egyptian Empire showed a strong closing kick at this class level last time out, finishing just two lengths back of Chaulk O Lattey, who went on to take the Place in the Solana Beach Handicap. While I don't think Egyptian Empire is as good as Tiz a Kiss, I do think that Egyptian Empire has a much better chance of winning than her Morning Line odds suggest, and that she would still be worth a look at even one third of that price.
Frandontjudge misses by just a head of being a perfect three-for-three since being claimed by Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer; but today's contest contains a much classier field than any that Frandontjudge has had to compete against so far this year.
RACE 9 - (F) The Del Mar Debutante (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Pretty N Cool (ML 2-1)
# 11 Songbird (ML 5-2)
None
C's
# 2 Come to Mischief (ML 8-1)
# 5 Surfside Tiara (ML 7-2)
# 6 Stays in Vegas (ML 15-1)
# 9 Gomo (ML 15-1) has been scratched.
Pretty N Cool, a perfect two-for-two so far in her young career, is the only Graded Stakes winner in the field, having taken the Grade 2 Sorrento over this main track last time out. Songbird has been working well since winning her debut over this main track by over a half dozen lengths. Songbird also has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field.
Come to Mischief was a listed stakes winner in her debut at Woodbine last time out, earning a Beyer Speed Figure in the process that fits in well with the contenders here; but the concern with Come to Mischief is how she'll perform on a fast dirt track. Surfside Tiara made a nice move forward while graduating in her second attempt last time out. Stays in Vegas, who like Surfside Tiara and Songbird is trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, is the only multiple stakes winner in the field.
RACE 10 - OC 62k/N2X - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Texas Ryano (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Unusual Taste (ML 6-1)
# 5 Atomic Rule (ML 6-1)
# 6 Surfcup (ML 12-1)
C's
# 8 Aotearoa (ML 8-1)
None of the four Also Eligibles, # 11 Perfectly Majestic (ML 6-1), # 12 Crucero (ML 5-1), # 13 Short Heat Wave (ML 12-1), and # 14 Bird E House (ML 15-1), draw in.
Texas Ryano has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last three starts, all at this class level. Unusual Taste steps up in class after showing a good closing kick in each of his last two starts. Atomic Rule enters this contest having won four of his last five starts; but this will be a pretty big step up the class ladder for Atomic Rule relative to his last three victories.
Surfcup has been working well since his last start three weeks back, which was his first taste of competition in over two years. Surfcup looks to be the lone early speed in this contest (and, yes, that is something to consider on turf, though not to the same degree as on dirt). If Surfcup can return to the form that he showed back in 2013, then he could be the one getting his picture taken today.
Aotearoa would normally be an "A" selection in this race based upon his recent form; but Aotearoa will be removing the blinkers today. The last three times that Aotearoa competed with blinkers off he finished seventh, seventh, and seventh; the time prior to that he was eased, and the time prior to that he finished sixth. So, needless to say, I'm not too optimistic about this move.
RACE 11 - Clm $16k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Ain't Misbehavin (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 1 Eagle Rock (ML 8-1)
# 3 Cowtownmary (ML 8-1)
# 7 Formally Wild (ML 7-2)
# 10 Wicker Man (ML 9-2)
C's
None
# 2 Porchetto (ML 15-1) scratched; but not early enough to allow either of the Also Eligibles (# 13 Smokeshow City (ML 15-1) and # 14 Top Drawer (ML 4-1)) to draw in.
Ain't Misbehavin drops in for the lowest price tag of his career, after having taken the Show against more expensive two starts back. Eagle Rock has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure that was earned on a fast dirt track in this field.
Cowtownmary took the Show at this class level last time out and could be the speed of the speed. Formally Wild competes on a fast dirt track for the first time in his career; if his turf form holds, Formally Wild could find himself in the Winner's Circle today. Wicker Man won by daylight in his debut last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,10 with 3,11 with 4 with 5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 3,11 with 1,4,5,6 with 1,3,5,7,10 $40.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 3,11 with 4 with 5 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 2,5,6 with 4 with 5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 3,11 with 8 with 5 $2.00
Total: $50.00
Post Time for Race 8 is 8:31 EDT / 5:31 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
No comments:
Post a Comment