RACE 5 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Accelerate (Morning Line 8-5)
# 3 Arrogate (ML 6-5)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Dynamic Scoring (ML 10-1)
# 6 He's a Knockout (ML 12-1)
Accelerate and Arrogate are a pair of first time starters whose trainers (John Sadler and Bob Baffert, respectively) tend to do well when sending out debut runners. Accelerate and Arrogate are also by a pair of sires (Lookin At Lucky and Unbridled's Song, respectively) whose offspring tend to do well at first asking.
Dynamic Scoring and He's a Knockout are another pair of first time starters who (in my opinion) do not rate as highly as our "A" Selections, but deserve consideration based upon their respective breeding and the way that they've been working towards this contest.
RACE 6 - Alw 25000s - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Giant Ego (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Moments Notiz (ML 5-1)
# 2 Pray Hard (ML 3-1)
# 4 My Secret Affair (ML 6-1)
# 5 Too Fast to Pass (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Swiss Minister (ML 10-1)
Note that there's no lifetime Win restrictions to being a part of this field. The conditions state that this contest is open to all three year olds and upward that have started for a claiming price of $25k either this year or last, and since that race have not won a claiming, starter, or optional claiming race exceeding $25k.
Giant Ego goes first off the claim for Trainer Kristin Mulhall after defeating $20k Claimers at Santa Anita last time out by as many as he wanted. Moments Notiz goes first off the claim for Trainer Bill Spawr, who wins with over a third of such.
Pray Hard goes first off the claim for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer. My Secret Affair and Pray Hard filled out the Exacta at this class level in the only prior race for each runner over this track.
Too Fast to Pass has finished in the Exacta five of the six times that he has competed at today's distance. Swiss Minister is on the ticket because I won't use "ALL but one" in any one leg of a multi-race wager.
RACE 7 - OC 62k/N$Y - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Whisky Ticket (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 2 Just Kidding (ML 3-1)
# 6 Midnight Hawk (ML 6-1)
# 7 Second Summer (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Whisky Ticket, winner of last year's Illinois Derby, goes second off the layoff for Trainer Bob Baffert. Whisky Ticket missed by just a head at this approximate class level last time out.
Just Kidding has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in four of his last five starts. Midnight Hawk, the "other" Baffert, multi-times Graded Stakes placed, makes his third start of 2016 after spending most of last year on the bench. Second Summer has been been showing steady improvement since keeping off the grass, and could be the one running best late.
RACE 8 - (F) Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Destroyer Escort (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Saratoga's Excess (ML 20-1)
C's
# 4 Charlie My Love (ML 3-1)
# 6 Warren's Super Cat (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 1 Lookinforadanger (ML 2-1)
Destroyer Escort hops all the way down the class ladder after spending nearly a year on the bench. Yeah, that's usually a pretty big red flag; but Trainer Eric Kruljac tends to do well with those returning from an extended layoff, and a repeat of either of her two prior career efforts would probably be enough to get Destroyer Escort into the Winner's Circle today.
Saratoga's Excess showed good early speed in each of her two prior starts. Charlie My Love took the Show against more expensive in her debut two starts back. Warren's Super Cat missed by just a length at this class level two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 5 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3 with 1,2,3,4,5 with 2,3,6,7 with 3,5 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 3 with 3 with 5 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3 with 6 with 3 with 5 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 4,6 $2.00
Total: $46.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:58 EDT / 3:58 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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