RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Commander Lute (Morning Line 8-5)
# 5 Line of Doom (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 2 Litigation Road (ML 10-1)
# 6 Gato Pimiento (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Italian Mirage (ML 20-1)
# 4 He's a Real Keeper (ML 9-5)
Commander Lute has done most of his best racing in Washington and Oregon; but he showed good early speed last time out in his return to California while racing above his conditions. Line of Doom graduated in his only prior try on this track, and drops today to a more realistic class level.
Litigation Road makes his second start off an extended layoff; it's fair to say that he needed his last race. If Litigation Road can return to the form that he showed in 2015, then he can win today. Gato Pimiento was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level two starts back.
He's a Real Keeper has managed to miss the Winner's Circle in twenty-seven of his twenty-eight career starts; but He's a Real Keeper has finished in the Trifecta in all three of his starts on this track, and he could be the only one still running at the end. Italian Mirage is on the ticket because I won't use "ALL but one" in any leg of a multi-race wager.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Nine Point Nine (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Ok Doll (ML 7-2)
# 4 Star of Munster (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Spicy Blonde (ML 8-1)
# 5 Sooner Time (ML 3-1)
Nine Point Nine was victorious at this class level the last time that she competed on dirt, two starts back. Ok Doll drops into a more realistic class level after showing good early speed last time out against more expensive stock.
Star of Munster has shown the ability to win at this approximate class level. Spicy Blonde graduated last time out in her first start on a fast dirt track; perhaps dirt is her preferred surface. Sooner Time has proven to be competitive at this class level.
RACE 7 - (F) The Surfside $75k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Code Warrior (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Surfside Tiara (ML 8-5)
# 2 Uptown Twirl (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 My Dynamo (ML 6-1)
# 5 Moment Is Right (ML 5-2)
Code Warrior's form looks much better when you eliminate her tries around two turns. Surfside Tiara may need a race before she's back in top form; but she may not need top form to win today. Uptown Twirl should improve with the return to dirt.
Moment Is Right, winner of last year's Astoria Stakes at Belmont Park, will lose the blinkers for her California debut. My Dynamo is on the ticket because I won't use "ALL but one" in any leg of a multi-race wager.
RACE 9 - [S] OC 20k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 City State (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 4 Broadway Nika (ML 8-1)
# 5 Pulmarack (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Zip the Monkey (ML 3-1)
# 2 Hunted Guy (ML 8-1)
# 7 Indygo Holiday (ML 12-1)
City State took the Place at this class level two starts back, and defeated open company at today's distance on this track last time out. Broadway Nika won by open lengths against open company last time out. Pulmarack is stakes placed versus state bred company.
Zip the Monkey took the Place at this class level two starts back. Hunted Guy has won half of his six career starts on a fast dirt track, and more than half of his overall career seventeen starts; so he knows how to find the Winner's Circle. Indygo Holiday graduated last time out; Trainer Sean McCarthy tends to do well when placing his last out winners.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3,5 with 3 with 4 with 8 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,5,6 with 1,3,4 with 1,2,4 with 4,5,8 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,4 with 3 with 4 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 2,5 with 4 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 3 with 3,5 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 3 with 4 with 1,2,7 $3.00
Total: $64.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:28 EDT / 4:28 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
No comments:
Post a Comment