Sunday, August 14, 2016

8/14/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

The Solana Beach, an event for state bred fillies and mares run on some California grass, is Sunday's featured race at Del Mar.  As it's one of the final four contests on the card we'll be taking a look at it below as we take another run at the Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 6 - ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A's

# 5 Hobbits Hero (Morning Line 4-1)

B's

# 3 Act (ML 10-1)
# 4 Tuco (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 7 Zinvor (ML 3-1)

C's

# 10 Reflected Star (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 1 Bronzino (Fr) (No Line); # 13 Da Jenius (ML 30-1); and # 14 Deep Consideration (ML 20-1)

Hobbits Hero took the Place on this turf course at this class level last time out, and may improve with the cutback in real estate.  Tuco (Ire) showed good form in each of his two prior North American starts, and could move forward off the freshening.  Act fits well with this field on class; the question for Act is how he will handle the added distance.

Zinov is two-for-two lifetime on this turf course.  Zinov also goes first off the claim for Trainer Mark Glatt, who tends to do well with such.  Reflected Star took the Show behind Zinov last time out, but the plethora of early speed in this contest may benefit late runner Reflected Star.

RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Grand Prix (ML 7-2)
# 8 American Gal (ML 5-2)

B's

# 4 Partyinthepaddock (ML 4-1)
# 5 Fact of Life (ML 4-1)
# 7 Cho Has Zip (ML 20-1)

C's

None

Scratch all the Also Eligibles: # 11 Soul Singer (ML 5-1); # 12 Lovely Linda (NL); # 13 Dumont (NL); and # 14 With Love (ML 5-1)

These are juveniles, and Grand Prix is the only entrant with any experience, having taken the Show at this class level in her debut last time out.  For the others, what I wrote regarding yesterday's Race 7 holds true for this contest as well: examine the sire and trainer stats with regard to debut runners; check the workouts for noticeable gaps in conditioning; and if you can afford it, just punch the "ALL" button.

RACE 8 - [S] (F) The Solana Beach $150k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 11 Majestic Heat (ML 5-2)

B's

# 3 Singing Kitty (ML 3-1)
# 6 Lily Kai (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Mangita (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 4 Minster'sadventure (NL)

Majestic Heat defeated open OC 62k/N2X company last time out by daylight.  Singing Kitty missed by victory by less than a length each of the last two times that she competed in a state bred only stakes.  Lily Kai is trained by Michael Machowsky, who is having a great meet thus far.  Mangita may improve with the return to state bred only competition.

RACE 9 - Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 11 Awesome Image (ML 4-1)

B's

# 3 Legitimate (ML 3-1)

C's

# 5 Star Express (ML 4-1)

Scratch # 8 Resistanceisfutile (ML 5-2)

Awesome Image ships in from upstate after taking the Place against more expensive stock.  Legitimate and Star Express have shown that they can compete at this class level; but they have also both shown a strong aversion to the Winner's Circle.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 1,8 with 11 with 11 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,4,5,7 with 1,4,5,7,8 with 3,6,11 with 3,11 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,8 with 11 with 11 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,8 with 1 with 11 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,8 with 11 with 5 $1.00

Total: $65.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:33 EDT / 4:33 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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