Saturday, August 27, 2016

8/27/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

Fillies dominate the final four races on Saturday's Del Mar card, with three quarters of the last four events being for females that are either two are three years old.  We'll be taking a look at each of those contests below, as we take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - (F) OC 80k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Nodiac (Ire) (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 6 Sutton's Smile (ML 4-1)
# 7 Well Caught (Ire) (ML 10-1)
# 8 Do the Dance (ML 6-1)
# 13 Ok Doll (ML 8-1)

C's

# 4 Roo's Valentine (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 1 Friulian (ML 15-1); # 11 Lunar Express (ML 6-1); and # 14 Gone to Bali (ML 5-1).  Bring in # 12 Crimson and Gold (ML 15-1) and # 13 Ok Doll (ML 8-1), as those two will run.

Stakes placed Nodiac (Ire) gets some class relief off the freshening for Trainer Phil D'Amato.  Sutton's Smile, also trained by Phil D'Amato, took the Show at this class level last time out.  Well Caught (Ire) drops in class as well as cuts back in distance.

Do the Dance misses by less than a length of entering this contest with a three race winning streak.  Ok Doll was victorious last time out in her first ever try on the turf.  Roo's Valentine was a winner in her only prior try on this turf course.  Look for Roo's Valentine to try to steal it on the front end.

RACE 8 - [S] (F) The Generous Portion $150k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 You're Late (ML 9-5)
# 3 Miss Sunset (ML 8-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Dixie Chick Rocks (ML 3-1)
# 4 I'll Be Around (ML 12-1)
# 5 How About Zero (ML 6-1)
# 6 Rocketann (ML 15-1)


You're Late, trained by Jeff Bonde, is the only runner among these juvenile fillies with multiple wins.  Miss Sunset, also trained by Jeff Bonde, was impressive in winning her debut last time out.  The "C's" are everyone else.

RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Lovely Linda (ML 7-2)
# 2 Life's Blessings (ML 5-2)
# 6 Americana (ML 3-1)

B's

None

C's

# 3 Soul Singer (ML 6-1)
# 8 Hansen Tale Blues (ML 10-1)
# 10 Beautiful Becca (ML 15-1)

Scratch all the Also Eligibles: # 11 Mopotism (ML 5-1); # 12 Go On Mary (ML 20-1); # 13 Lake Time (ML 4-1); and # 14 Demigoddess (ML 10-1)

Lovely Linda, one of just two experienced runners in this field (# 7 Princess Nicole (ML 20-1) is the other) showed good early speed in her debut last time out.  Life's Blessings is trained by Bob Baffert; Americana is trained by Jerry Hollendorfer; both Life's Blessings and Americana show sharp five furlong gate works the last time that they practiced over this main track.

Soul Singer, trained by Peter Miller, will be ridden by Victor Espinoza, who is having an excellent meet.  Hansen Tale Blues and Beautiful Becca are both by sires (Hansen and Elusive Quality, respectively) whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.

RACE 10 - [S] ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A's

# 4 Glory Bound (ML 7-2)

B's

# 5 Anatolian Heat (ML 5-1)
# 8 Matriculate (ML 5-1)
# 10 Sir Cal (ML 20-1)

C's

# 1 Temple Keys (ML 9-2)
# 7 American Aristocat (ML 10-1)

Scratch all the Also Eligibles: # 11 Lindante (ML 8-1); # 12 Zip the Monkey (ML 4-1); # 14 Smokey's Legacy (ML 6-1); # 14 Ace Deuce (ML 20-1)

Glory Bound took the Show at this class level two starts back.  Anatolian Heat could steal this one on the front end.  Matriculate tries the grass for the first time after proving to be competitive at this approximate class level on the dirt.  

Sir Cal had a sharp work over the main track on the 19th; don't know if the hood was on or off for that one, but perhaps the equipment change will be the difference maker.  Temple Keys could be the one running best late; but the rail draw is a concern.  American Aristocat could be rounding up into a big effort.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3 with 2,3 with 1,2,6 with 4 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,6,7,8,13 with 2,3 with 1,2,6 with 4,5,8,10 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 4 with 2,3 with 1,2,6 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,4,5,6 with 1,2,6 with 4 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,3 with 3,8,10 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,3 with 1,2,6 with 1,7 $6.00

Total: $84.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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