Sunday, August 7, 2016

8/7/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

The Osunitas, a restricted stakes for fillies and mares on the turf, is Sunday's featured race at Del Mar.  We'll be taking a look at that contest below, as we take another run at the Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 6 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Saint Dermot (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 4 Tribal Jewel (ML 3-1)

C's

# 2 Go Long (4-1)
# 3 Foxtrot Romeo (Ire) (ML 5-1)
# 5 Got Even (ML 5-1)


Saint Dermot and Tribal Jewel crossed the wire one-two (respectively) last time out in The Bottom Line Starter Handicap.  Tribal Jewel has lost ground in the stretch in each of his last three races; but Tribal Jewel is the only runner in this field with multiple victories over this main track.

Go Long goes first off the claim for Trainer John Sadler, who is having an excellent meet.  Foxtrot Romeo (Ire) ships in from upstate; his work on the 3rd suggests that Foxtrot Romeo should take well to this track.  Got Even is probably the best horse in this field, so I can't leave him completely off my ticket; but Got Even has proven to be extremely camera shy while scooping up a plethora of minor awards.

RACE 7 - [R] (F) The Osunitas$75k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 7 Havanna Belle (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 8 Entrechat (ML 5-1)

B's

# 1 Juno (Brz) (ML 9-2)
# 3 Elektrum (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 5 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 7-2)

C's

None

This contest is restricted to fillies and mares that have not won a stakes in 2016 (except for state bred) where the distance was eight furlongs or more AND the winner's share of the purse was $50k or more.

Havanna Belle (Ire) has been over-matched in her recent Graded Stakes tries; but Havanna Belle seems to fit well at this level.  Entrechat did well in her stretchout over this turf course last time out, and should be forwardly placed.

Juno (Brz) could be speed on the rail on a turf course that seems to favor early speed.  Elektrum (Ire) and Prize Exhibit (GB) are the classiest runners in this field, but both could be compromised their late running style.

RACE 8 - [S] (F) OC 20k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Chao Chom (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 8 Dis Smart Cat (ML 9-2)

C's

# 2 Yodelsong (ML 8-1)
# 3 Plane Lucky (ML 5-1)
# 5 Q' Viva (ML 8-1)
# 6 Surfing the Menu (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 4 Easter Fever (ML 12-1)

Chao Chom took a big step forward while graduating in her second career start last time out.  Dis Smart Cat has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts.  Yodelsong could be the one running best late in a field that seems to be loaded with early speed.

Plane Lucky won by the length of the stretch last time out in her first start for Trainer Richard Baltas.  Q' Viva has finished in the Trifecta in each of her six career starts over this main track.  Surfing the Menu has shown a steadily improving form in each of her 2016 starts.

RACE 9 - (F) Md $75k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Lookinforadanger (ML 8-1)
# 9 Midnight Swinger (ML 3-1)

B's

# 3 Angel On Point (ML 8-1)
# 4 Sweet Treat (ML 5-1)
# 6 Tinderella (GB) (ML 5-2)

C's

# 2 Carnival Lights (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 1 Sapodilla (ML 12-1)

Lookinforadanger, Midnight Swinger, and Angel On Point all exit the same last out contest where Midnight Swinger missed graduation by just a neck.  Expect Lookinforadanger and Angel On Point to be forwardly placed on a turf course that has been favoring early speed.

Sweet Treat tries the turf for the first time; as a daughter of Candy Ride (Arg) and a Storm Cat mare, Sweet Treat could move forward with the move off the main track.

Tinderella (GB) drops in for a tag for the first time since coming to North America.  Carnival Lights could come swooping in late if it all falls apart up front.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 7,8 with 1 with 5,9 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 1,3,5,7,8 with 1,8 with 3,4,5,6,9 $50.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,3,5 with 7,8 with 1 with 5,9 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7,8 with 2,3,5,6 with 5,9 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7,8 with 1 with 2 $1.00

Total: $69.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:33 EDT / 4:33 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: