Saturday, August 6, 2016

8/6/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 3 La Jolla is today's featured race at Del Mar; we'll be taking a look at it below, as we take another run at the Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - OC 80k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Bombard (Morning Line 3-1)
# 5 Tristan's Trilogy (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 3 Alaskan Son (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 8 Chewy Round Town (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 9 Lauren's Lad (ML 5-1)

C's

# 4 Trinitas Soldier (ML 12-1)
# 7 Annie's Candy (ML 15-1)

Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Mishegas (ML 11-1) and # 12 Arcature (ML 4-1)

There are four here that are exiting the same OC 75k/N1X from July 16; and it's not easy to determine exactly what to make of that contest.  Bombard and Trintas Soldier crossed the line virtually simultaneously in that event; but Trintas Soldier had the much smoother trip.  Lauren's Lad was steadied in the stretch; but Lauren's Lad may have already been out of it at that point.  Chewy Round Table (Ire) was never really in that race, but I think Chewy Round Table deserves another chance as he didn't show any of his usual front-running style.

Tristan's Trilogy missed winning The Singletary by just a head two starts back.  Alaskan Son (Ire), trying winners for the first time, is the only runner here with a victory over this turf course.  Annie's Candy makes a quick return to competition after taking the Show in a sprint just last week.

RACE 8 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Straight Fire (ML 8-5)

B's

# 4 Excavation (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Plum Dandy (ML 10-1)
# 6 Saldamente (ML 8-1)
# 9 James River (ML 5-1)

Straight Fire took the Place in his debut at this class level last time out; the only question is how Straight Fire will handle the additional real estate that he'll have to cover today.  Excavation took the Show at this class level in his debut last time out.

Plum Dandy, Saldamente, and James River are a trio of first time starters. Plum Daddy is trained by Simon Callaghan, who tends to do well when sending out runners for their debut.  Saldamente had a sharp work over this main track back on the 7/30.  James River, trained by Bob Baffert, was sired by Union Rags, whose progeny have shown themselves to be ready to roll at first asking, in a limited sample size.

RACE 9 - The La Jolla (Grade 3) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 8 Monster Bea (ML 5-2)

B's

# 4 Dressed in Hermes (ML 8-1)
# 5 Mr. Roary (ML 20-1)
# 6 Lucky Bryan (ML 9-2)

C's

# 3 Moonlight Drive (Ity) (ML 3-1)
# 9 Ebadan (Ire) (ML 12-1)

Monster Bea won The Oceanside over this turf course last time out.  Dressed in Hermes is the only prior Graded Stakes winner in this field.  Mr. Roary won The Rainbow two starts back.  Lucky Bryan has displayed a steadily improving form in his 2016 starts.

Moonlight Drive (Ity) was a well beaten second behind Monster Bea last time out in the Oceanside; but it's possible that Moonlight Drive may move up going second off the layoff; while  Ebadan (Ire), who was never a factor in The Oceanside, may just have not felt like running that day.

RACE 10 - Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Rideo (ML 3-1)

B's

# 5 Yet Another Nate (ML 6-1)
# 9 Alaskan Cruise (ML 5-2)

C's

# 6 Cause I'm Bad (ML 12-1)
# 7 Woodstock Memory (ML 10-1)
# 10 Gavination (ML 5-1)

Rideo took the Show at this class level last time out, and now goes first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill.  Yet Another Nate could be quickest early.  Alaskan Cruise took the Place at this class level last time out.

Cause I'm Bad drops in class and switches surfaces after showing nothing last time out in his debut.  Woodstock Memory flashed some early foot last time out before fading.  Gavination has proven to be competitive, albeit camera shy, at this class level.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2,5 with 7 with 8 with 8 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,3,5,8,9 with 4,7 with 4,5,6,8 with 5,8,9 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 7 with 8 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 1,6,9 with 8 with 8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 7 with 3,9 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 7 with 8 with 6,7,10 $3.00

Total: $71.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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