Sunday, August 28, 2016

8/28/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

For the second day in a row three quarters of Del Mar's final four races are devoted to those on the distaff side, including today's featured race, the Grade 3 Torrey Pines.  We'll be taking a look at each of those contests below, as we take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Jeweled (Morning Line 5-2)
# 6 My Alchemist (ML 6-1)

B's

# 4 Mo'vette (ML 6-1)

C's

# 5 Go On Mary (ML 20-1)
# 7 Demigoddess (ML 12-1)
# 8 Mopotism (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 1 Spooky Woods (ML 9-2) and # 9 Jilly (No Line)

These are juveniles, with Jeweled, My Alchemist, and Demigoddess the only experienced runners in the field.  Jeweled, trained by Bob Baffert, got off a bit slow in her debut last time out (gee, doesn't that seem to be happening to an inordinate number of Baffert debut runners this Summer?) and then had a bit of a rough trip as she disappointed as the Post Time Favorite; so she's entitled to another look.

My Alchemist showed good early speed in her debut last time out.  Mo'vette has been working well for this.  Go On Mary and Mopotism are both trained by Doug O'Neill; Go On Mary has the better works, but Mopotism has the better bloodlines for precociousness.  Demigoddess took the Show in The Landaluce last time out.

RACE 8 - The Torrey Pines (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Kay Kay (ML 8-1)
# 7 Bellamentary (ML 4-1)

B's

None

C's

# 4 Nine Point Nine (ML 20-1)
# 5 She's a Warrior (ML 6-1)
# 8 Belvoir Bay (GB) (ML 10-1)


Scratch # 1 Enola Gray (ML 4-5); # 2 Uptown Twirl (ML 15-1); and # 6 Dreamarcher (ML 15-1)

Needless to say, the scratch of Enola Gray earlier today totally changed the complexion of this event; not to mention the complexion of this handicapper, who had to go back to work restructuring his Pick Four tickets.

Kay Kay and Bellamentary were just a nose apart at the wire as they were watching Songbird's backside in the Grade 2 Summertime Oaks.  The "C's" are everyone else in what is now just a five horse field.

RACE 9 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Prime Issue (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 1 Boy Howdy (ML 7-2)
# 2 Kristi's Copilot (ML 8-1)
# 4 Tribal Tribute (ML 5-1)
# 5 Ultimate Luck (ML 8-1)
# 9 Storm Comin Thru (ML 9-2)

C's

# 6 Preacher Roe (ML 8-1)
# 7 Accelerant (ML 8-1)
# 8 Ladies Man (ML 10-1)

Prime Issue is a Peter Miller re-claim, having run for the Miller barn back in June at Santa Anita.  That contest was the most recent race in which Prime Issue routed on the dirt, and he missed victory by just a head at this class level.

Boy Howdy tries two turns for the first time after taking the Show at this class level two starts back.  Kristi's Copilot took the Show at this approximate class level the last time that he routed on the dirt.

Tribal Tribute could win by the length of the stretch is he can bring his recent turf form over to the main track.  Ultimate Luck took the Show against classier foes last time out.  Storm Comin Thru took the Place at this class level last time out after leading most of the way.

Preacher Roe won at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass.  Accelerant is on the ticket because everyone else is.  Ladies Man misses by just a length of entering this contest with a three race winning streak.

RACE 10 - (F) Md $62.5k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Complimentary (ML 3-1)

B's

# 6 Tinderella (GB) (ML 4-1)
# 7 Sassy Ashley (ML 7-2)

C's

# 2 Lookinforadanger (ML 4-1)

Complimentary gave the best performance of her career last time out in her first try on the turf, and now drops in a for a tag for the first time in her career.  Tinderella (GB) took the Show against classier last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.

Sassy Ashley, like Complimentary, is also dropping in for a tag for the first time in her career; but the concern with Sassy Ashley is that the three weakest efforts of her career have also been her only three races over this turf course.  Lookinforadanger took the Place against more expensive last time out.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3,6 with 3,7 with 3 with 3 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,4,6 with 3,7 with 1,2,3,4,5,9 with 3,6,7 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 5,7,8 with 3,7 with 3 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 3,6 with 4,5,8 with 3 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 3,6 with 3,7 with 6,7,8 with 3 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3,6 with 3,7 with 3 with 2 $2.00

Total: $72.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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