RACE 4 - (F) Clm $5k N2X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 One Putt Par (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Cacica Dulima (ML 2-1)
C's
None
One Putt Par and Cacica Dulima bookended the Superfecta last time out, with One Putt Par getting the Win while Cacica Dulima disappointed as the Post Time Favorite. Since every other runner in this field exits that same race, the question here is which entrant(s) can be expected to improve upon that effort; and in my opinion these are the two most likely candidates.
RACE 5 - Clm $6.25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Danas Best (Aus) (ML 6-5)
B’s
# 1 Nahem (ML 5-1)
C's
# 2 Bountiful Desert (ML 6-1)
# 4 Moogie Woogie (ML 9-2)
# 6 Midvale Magic (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 3 Telepathy (ML 3-1)
Danas Best (Aus) took the Place against more expensive stock last time out. Nahem might be quick enough to steal this one on the front end. The C's are everyone else, because the Morning Line Favorite seems to have difficulties finding the Winner's Circle of late, even when leaving the gate as the shortest price on the board.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Sooner Time (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 2 Devil's Beauty (ML 5-2)
C's
None
Sooner Time goes first off the claim for Trainer Tim Bellasis, who tends to do well with such. Note that while Sooner Time is running with a higher price tag on her head than she did last time out this is actually a class drop, as that prior contest was open (no conditions) while this is an N2X (non-winners of two other than....). Devil's Beauty has taken the Show at this class level in each of her last two starts.
RACE 7 - Clm $40k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Guy Code (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Letithappen (ML 3-1)
C's
# 5 Marino's Wild Cat (ML 4-1)
# 6 Yahoo Tahoe (ML 6-1)
# 7 Mr. Jay D (ML 9-2)
Guy Code ships in from downstate, and his work over this main track on May 11 suggests that the speed that he's been showing on the dirt should carry over to the synthetic surface. Letithappen was victorious at this class level the last time that he competed over this main track.
Marino's Wild Cat win over the turf last time out could signal a return to the form that he was showing earlier this year. Yahoo Tahoe and Mr. Jay D filled out the Exacta at this class level last time out.
RACE 8 - MSW - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 The Perfect Square (ML 8-1)
B's
# 1 Ice Cream Fame (ML 7-2)
# 2 Pavelski (ML 1-1)
# 4 Lucky Patrick (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Thorny Weather (ML 5-1)
The Perfect Square is a first time starter for Trainer Cliff DeLima, who tends to do well with such. Ice Cream Fame took the Place at this class level in his debut over the main track three starts back.
Pavelski took the Show charging down the Santa Anita hill at this class level two starts back. The question with Pavelski is does he have enough speed for this, a true turf sprint. Lucky Patrick could move up with the cutback in distance. Thorny Weather could improve with the move to the lawn.
RACE 9 - Clm $4k N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 3 Pacific Channel (ML 2-1)
# 5 Thermopylae (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 2 Papa Pagosa (ML 10-1)
# 4 William Crotty (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Pacific Channel took the Place at this class level last time out. Thermopylae took the Show against classier stock two starts back, albeit for different connections.
Papa Pagosa graduated last time out; perhaps he's finally figured out what's going on out here. William Crotty's early speed might be enough to carry him to the Winner's Circle today.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 4 with 5 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,5 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1,4 with 1,5 with 2,6 with 1,4 with 1,2,4,6 with 2,3,4,5 $51.20
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 4 with 2,4,6 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,5 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 6 with 5,6,7 with 6 with 3,5 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 6 with 4 with 3 with 3,5 $0.40
Total: $56.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:45 EDT / 2:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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