RACE 4 - Clm $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Solomon Bay (Morning Line 7-2)
B’s
# 2 Midnight Destiny (ML 9-2)
# 3 Fly Lexis Fly (ML 5-2)
# 4 Pepper Crown (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 My Discretion (ML 3-1)
# 5 Fair Advantage (ML 8-1)
Solomon Bay goes for a cheaper price than in his two prior starts where he took the Place; but you really can't call it a class drop, as he'll be facing some of the same today as he did in those two contests. Midnight Destiny has been closing well in his recent one turn races. The surface switch may allow Pepper Crown to finally get past Solomon Bay before the wire.
Fly Lexus Fly should probably be racing on a real dirt track somewhere; however, Fly Lexus Fly is capable at this level on the grass. My Discretion will try to be the pace on the rail; but he may not be as quick as Solomon Bay, and could get caught in traffic in the stretch. Fair Advantage is on the ticket because everyone else in this field is.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 3 Motutapu (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Spanish Doll (ML 2-1)
# 4 Prophetinparadise (ML 6-1)
Montutapu has certainly shown an affinity for this main track, winning twice since shipping in from downstate. Spanish Doll should be the one running best late. There is no good reason why Prophetinparadise shouldn't lead this field from gate to wire. However, you could have made that same statement about several of Prophetinparadise's more recent races, where she has run out of gas before the wire.
RACE 6 - (F) OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Mon Petite (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Elegant Bel (ML 4-1)
# 7 Charming Starlet (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Mon Petite, Elegant Bel, and Charming Starlet all seem to be petty evenly matched, be the surface turf or synthetic; so this one in my opinion is probably going to come down to pace. With # 4 Pyscho Sister (ML 5-1) in the field, Elegant Bel will have some competition on the front end early; but there may not be enough pace for Charming Starlet to close into; so I'm giving the edge to Mon Petite, who should get first run on the leaders. But again, these three appear to be quite evenly matched, so it could just be a matter of which one is on their game today.
RACE 7 - Clm $3.2k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Amp and Adrenalin (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 7 The Sandman (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Lamaan (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 4 Mr. Cartagena (ML 5-2)
Amp and Adrenalin was victorious last time out at this approximate class level (higher claiming price in that contest, but with conditions); Trainer Bill Delia tends to do well when bringing his winners back. The Sandman is making a huge class drop; but The Sandman really hasn't shown much since leaving the barn of Trainer Larry Jones back east. Lamaan could be the one running best late.
RACE 8 - Alw 4000s - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Synnin (ML 3-1)
# 7 Kronwall (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 5 Olympic Jumble (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances in California, this contest has no lifetime win restrictions for entry. So any runner that has starter for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Synnin was victorious at this class level last time out, crossing the wire over three lengths in front of Kronwall, who took the Show; however, the change of surface and the reduction in real estate could work in Kronwall's favor today. Olympic Jumble found the Winner's Circle last time out after a seven month vacation; but he'll need to improve off that effort to catch the top two contenders.
RACE 9 - (F) Clm $6.25k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 It Girl (ML 9-5)
# 9 C J Knows Best (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 3 Peppered Gold (ML 5-1)
# 4 Dancing Lindsay (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 5 Princess Leia (ML 8-1)
It Girl took the Place at this class level last time out. C J Knows Best drops in class after taking the Show against more expensive last time out. Peppered Gold looks to be the quickest in this field. Dancing Lindsay took the Show at this class level last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket. While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 6 with 3 with 2 with 1 with 2,7 with 1,9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,3,4,6 with 3 with 1,2,7 with 1,7 with 2,5,7 with 1,3,4,9 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 3 with 2 with 1 with 2,7 with 1,9 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 6 with 1,4 with 2 with 1 with 2,7 with 1,9 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 6 with 3 with 2 with 3 with 2,7 with 1,9 $0.80
Total: $65.60
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:51 EDT / 2:51 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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