"I have never been able to think of the day as one of mourning; I have never quite been able to feel that half-masted flags were appropriate on Decoration Day. I have rather felt that the flag should be at the peak, because those whose dying we commemorate rejoiced in seeing it where their valor placed it. We honor them in a joyous, thankful, triumphant commemoration of what they did." - Benjamin Harrison
It's Memorial Day (formerly Decoration Day) in the USA, and my hope for each of you on this holiday, wherever you may be, is that you are free to peacefully enjoy the day in a manner of your own choosing. For me, a large part of that enjoyment will be playing the ponies; so with that, let's get to it, as I take another run at The Golden Pick Six at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 4 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 She Sang (Morning Line 6-1)
B’s
# 3 Liana Skye (ML 7-2)
# 7 Quick Song (ML 2-1)
C's
# 4 Propeppy (ML 15-1)
# 5 Another One (ML 3-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 1 Truly Ponti (ML 10-1), # 4 Propeppy (ML 15-1), and # 5 Another One (ML 3-1) are the three runners in this field to have made just one trip to the Winner's Circle in their career.
She Sang won under these conditions last time out, and she just might be the quickest in this field. Liana Skye has proven competitive at this class level. Quick Song disappointed as the Post Time Favorite under these conditions last time out. Quick Song should get a clean trip from the far outside post.
Propeppy could improve going second off the layoff. Another One took the Show behind She Sang last time out, and may be able to turn the tables on that one with a change in surface.
RACE 5 - Clm $3.2k N2X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 Sweet Daddy (ML 1-1)
B’s
# 3 Speed Saver (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Dynamite Ride (ML 5-1)
# 4 Blazing Image (ML 4-1)
# 7 Extensive (ML 20-1)
This contest is restricted to runners which have not won two races in 2016-2017, excluding Maiden races, as well as Claiming and Starter races for less than $2.5k. Which means that this really should be an N2Y rather than an N2X; but we'll stick with the official designation.
Sweet Daddy gets some much needed class relief here. Speed Saver made a nice move forward last time out in his first start for the barn of Trainer Jack Steiner; perhaps he can build upon that effort.
Dynamite Ride has proven competitive at this class level. Blazing Image goes first off the claim for Trainer Sheldon Paldanius, who tends to do well with such. Extensive, shipping in from Arizona, has run well in the past when competing over this main track.
RACE 6 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Whisky N Roses (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Carolina Island (ML 4-1)
# 2 The Dandy Man Can (ML 7-2)
# 3 Kittenmeister (ML 10-1)
C's
# 5 Become an Insider (ML 6-1)
# 7 Pick One (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 4 Loma Cat (ML 12-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, all the runners in this field have made just one trip to the Winner's Circle in their career.
Whisky N Roses took the Show behind a next out winner under these conditions last time out. Carolina Island took the Show at this class level back in April, albeit on the main track. The Dandy Man Can missed victory be just a neck under these conditions last time out. Kittenmeister was victorious in her debut last time out for Trainer John Martin, and fits well with the contenders here.
Become an Insider is on my tickets because every other runner in this field is. Pick One graduated last time out in his first try over this turf course; perhaps Pick One has wanted grass all along.
RACE 7 - The All American (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Alert Bay (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Ike Walker (ML 12-1)
C's
# 1 Street Lad (ML 15-1)
# 8 Flamboyant (Fr) (ML 7-2)
Alert Bay enters this event with a two race winning streak, having defeated several of these in those prior contests. Ike Walker ships in from downstate, and ran well in the past when competing on the synthetic surface at Arlington Park.
Street Lad will be speed on the rail; and while Street Lad has run all that fast in his prior races to make the lead, he also hasn't had to. Flamboyant (Fr), shipping in from downstate, may do well with the cutback in distance.
RACE 8 - OC 25k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Force (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 7 Pepper Crown (ML 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Logan's Moon (ML 8-1)
# 3 My Discretion (ML 2-1)
Force (Ire) ships in from downstate and goes first time for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such. Pepper Crown was a length behind My Discretion at the wire last time out. I expect Pepper Crown to get the better of that rival today, as My Discretion got away with some pretty soft fractions last time; and that's unlikely to happen again today. Logan's Moon could improve with the return to two turn racing.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $20k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Bonnie's Ransom (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Having Fun (ML 5-2)
# 9 Shaula (ML 9-2)
C's
# 12 Ragazza Di Vola (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 11 Jazz Night (No Line). Bring in # 13 Silk Kitty (ML 15-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Bonnie's Ransom missed graduation by just a neck under these conditions last time out, with Having Fun taking the Show behind her. Shaula returns after running a couple of races downstate, and will be in for a tag for the first time in her career. Ragazza Di Viola ships in from downstate for Trainer Tim Yaakteen, and could improve with the class drop.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 6 with 5 with 6 with 6 with 6,7 with 2 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3,6,7 with 3,5 with 1,2,3,6 with 3,6 with 6,7 with 2,3,9 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 4,5 with 5 with 6 with 6 with 6,7 with 2 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 6 with 1,4,7 with 6 with 6 with 6,7 with 2 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 5 with 5,7 with 6 with 6,7 with 2 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 6 with 5 with 6 with 1,8 with 6,7 with 2 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 6 with 5 with 6 with 6 with 1,3 with 2 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 6 with 5 with 6 with 6 with 6,7 with 12 $0.40
Total: $64.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:15 EDT / 2:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
No comments:
Post a Comment