Sunday's featured race at Santa Anita is the Sweet Life, a six and a half furlong charge down the hill for three year old fillies. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - Md $30k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Old School Ike (Morning Line 3-5)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Nine Issues (ML 30-1)
# 7 Shackalov (ML 4-1)
A Morning Line of 3-5 tells you that I'm not alone in liking Old School Ike's chances in this contest. If the Peter Miller trained Old School Ike repeats his last performance, when he took the Place at this class level, then he wins today. If there's a concern here it's that it's not exactly clear what caused such a big move forward last time out for Old School Ike in his sixth career start. Perhaps he just needed Tyler Baze on his back to impress upon him that the time to go forward fast was as soon as the gates open. But even if Old School Ike takes a step back off his last outing, he still looks to be a legitimate Favorite in this field.
Nine Issues could improve in his second career start, as runners for Trainer Dallas Keen tend to do. Shakalov took the Show against more expensive stock two starts back.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Ten Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Laseen (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 3 Lucy De (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Beautiful Becca (ML 8-1)
# 4 Nodiac (Ire) (ML 4-1)
# 7 Coachwhip (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Laseen (Ire), Graded Stakes placed two and three starts back, should appreciate the class relief. Lucy De looks to be in top form. Beautiful Becca should be forwardly placed early, and may steal this one on the front end.
Nodiac (Ire) fits well at this class level, and could improve off the freshening. Coachwhip found herself battling for the early lead last time out in the Grade 1 American Oaks; the class drop coupled with a ride somewhat off the pace may just get Coachwhip into the winner's circle Sunday.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $6.25k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Backintheacademy (ML 5-2)
# 3 Ipray (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 6 Liar's Smoke (ML 2-1)
# 7 Jill Madden (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 8 Yes Mongolia (ML 10-1)
Backintheacademy finished in the Exacta two and three starts back against more expensive stock. Backintheacademy should be quicker off the mark today than she was last time out, when she disappointed as the Post Time Favorite.
Ipray could move up with the return to two turn racing. Liar's Smoke is getting some much needed class relief here. It should be noted that Liar's Smoke did not fare well the one prior time that she competed over a Fast dirt track; while Jill Madden has run well in her prior starts on real dirt, and can therefore be expected to improve over her most recent outing.
RACE 9 - (F) The Sweet Life $75k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 1 Out of The Flames (GB) (ML 3-1)
# 8 Ms Bad Behavior (ML 7-2)
B's
# 4 War Heroine (ML 4-1)
# 5 Finess Bere (Fr) (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Ms Bad Behavior was a neck in front of Out of The Flames (GB) at the wire charging down the hill last time out. War Heroine is trying grass for the first time; her breeding suggests that she'll like it. Finess Bere (Fr) is trained by Bob Baffert, whose turf starters have been doing quite well of late.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 1,3 with 1,3 with 1,8 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,2,3,4,7 with 1,3,6,7 with 1,4,5,8 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 1,3 with 1,3 with 1,8 $8.00
Total: $56.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:06 EST / 3:06 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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