Saturday, February 17, 2018

2/17/18 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 2 Buena Vista is the featured race on Saturday's Santa Anita card, kicking off a three day holiday weekend in the USA (and, just to let you know now, I won't be posting selections Monday).  I'll be looking at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 7 - (F) The Buena Vista (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Madam Dancealot (Ire) (Morning Line 7-2)

B's

# 1 Insta Irma (ML 7-2)
# 4 Madame Stripes (Arg) (ML 3-1)
# 5 Thundering Sky (ML 8-1)


C's

# 6 Sassy Little Lila (ML 4-1)
# 8 Pricedtoperfection (ML 15-1)

# 9 Juno (Brz) (ML 12-1)

Madame Danealot (Ire) makes her four year old debut here, and she appears ready to pick up where she left off last year.  Madame Stripes (Arg), Insta Irma, and Thundering Sky filled out the Trifecta in the Grade 3 Megahertz last time out.

Sassy Little Lila may be able to go gate to wire on the lead.  Pricedtoperfection ships in from the east and could improve with the change of scenery.  Juno (Brz) could get a nice stalking trip with the outside draw.

RACE 8 - OC 40k/N1X - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Lookie Loo (ML 7-2)
# 9 Midnight Pleasure (ML 10-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 2 Sheer Flattery (ML 8-1)
# 3 Boy Howdy (ML 5-1)
# 4 Best Two Minutes (ML 12-1)
# 5 Sigur Ros (ML 6-1)
# 7 Clear the Mine (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 6 Solid Wager (ML 6-1)

Lookie Loo, trained by Bob Baffert, graduated convincingly in his second career start last time out.  Midnight Pleasure looks to be the one that will be running best late in a field filled with early speed.

Sheer Flattery could be the one that Midnight Pleasure will have to beat to the wire in the stretch.  Boy Howdy has been showing steady improvement in each of his more recent races, and I don't expect the voided claim last time out to keep Boy Howdy from being up on the pace.

Best Two Minutes could improve off the freshening.  Sigur Ros defeated a next out winner while graduating last time out.  Clear the Mine goes first off the claim for Trainer John Sadler, who tends to do well with such.

RACE 9 - Clm $25k - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 9 Royal Trump (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 2 Lipster (ML 12-1)
# 3 Mesa Jones (ML 3-1)
# 6 Builder (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Oso Strong (ML 6-1)
# 4 Ridgefield Rocket (ML 6-1)
# 7 Bright Autism Mind (ML 12-1)


Royal Trump could move up with the drop in class.  Lipster closed well to graduate last time out, and could improve with the added distance.  Mesa Jones, shipping in from upstate, is the only runner in here with multiple victories.  Builder could improve with the cutback to one turn racing.

Oso Strong, shipping in from upstate, could improve with the surface switch.  Ridgefield Rocket could move up with the drop in class.  Bright Autism Mind could be the speed of the speed, especially with the hood being added.

RACE 10 - OC 40k/N1X - Ten Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Saltini (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 9 Oscar Dominguez (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 10 Gio's Calling (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Excessive Kid (ML 6-1)
# 4 Plain Wrap (ML 30-1)


Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 13 Malko (Ire) (ML 15-1) and # 14 For Greater Glory (ML 15-1)

Saltini took the Place at this class level last time out.  Oscar Dominguez (Ire) goes first off the claim for Trainer John Sadler, who tends to do well with such.  Gio's Calling could move up with the drop in class.

Excessive Kid could be the one running best late.  Plain Wrap could improve with the increase in real estate.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2 with 1,9 with 9 with 3 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,5 with 1,9 with 2,3,6,9 with 3,9,10 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 6,8,9 with 1,9 with 9 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 2,3,4,5,7 with 9 with 3 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1,9 with 1,4,7 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1,9 with 9 with 1,4 $2.00

Total: $60.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 6:10 EST / 3:10 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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