Sunday, February 25, 2018

2/25/18 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

Believe it or not, Sunday marks the final racing date for Santa Anita for the month of February.  And, believe it or not, that's about all I have by way of introduction.  So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Pomp and Party (Morning Line 9-5)

B’s

None

C's

# 1 Fruity (Ire) (ML 3-1)
# 3 Sweetwater Gal (ML 2-1)
# 6 Dragon Flower (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 7 Herunbridledpower (ML 4-1)

Pomp and Party looks quickest here; but Pomp and Party has failed as the Post Time Favorite in three of her last four starts, which suggests that using her as a single is not advisable.  But with the scratch of Herunbridledpower, it's difficult to make a case for inclusion of any one of the other entrants above the others.  So it's either single Pomp and Party, or use at least four of this remaining field of six.

Fruity (Ire) and Dragon Flower are two that could move up with the class drop.  Sweetwater Gal, trained by John Martin, has run well in the past over this main track.

RACE 7 - OC 75k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 3 Masked (ML 2-1)

B’s

# 1 Magic Musketier (ML 9-2)
# 5 Colonel Cash (ML 5-1)

C's

# 7 La La Land (Ire) (ML 6-1)

Masked was much the best graduating last time out charging down the hill for Trainer Bob Baffert.  Baffert tends to do well when placing his last out maiden winners.  Today might finally be the day that Magic Musketier gets a clean trip.  Colonel Cash took the Show at this class level last time out.    La La Land (Ire) is making his North American debut; maybe La La Land will appreciate the change of scenery, though it appears that he may prefer synthetic to turf.

RACE 8 - Clm $40k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Just Kidding (ML 4-1)

B’s

# 2 Raagheb (ML 3-1)
# 3 Stormin Monarcho (ML 7-2)
# 4 Mr. Opportunist (ML 8-1)
# 5 Clear the Mine (ML 8-1)
# 6 Ike Walker (ML 8-5)

C's

None

Just Kidding is the only runner in this field to have finished in the Trifecta last time out.  Just Kidding is also the only runner in this field to have left the gate last time out at single digit odds.  Quite frankly, excepting Just Kidding, this is a field of entrants that have been running against mush classier competition and finding themselves in way over their heads; so now that they're finally facing foes with whom they fit on class, any one of them is capable of stepping forward and getting their picture taken today.

RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 12 Sensible Myth (ML 3-1)

B's

# 1 Sea Glass (ML 10-1)
# 2 Spiel (ML 6-1)
# 3 Stradella Road (ML 5-1)
# 5 Travieza (ML 4-1)
# 10 Rockin Ready (ML 5-2)

C's

# 8 My Princess Taylor (ML 20-1)
# 11 Sutro (ML 10-1)


Scratch # 9 Ladybug (ML 6-1).  Bring in # 12 Sensible Myth (ML 3-1) off the Also Eligible List.

Sensible Myth missed victory by a nose charging down the hill last time out against a next out winner.  Sea Glass is a first time starter who has been working so well over the main track its fair to wonder why she's not making her debut there; but Sea Glass' breeding suggests that she'll do well on the grass.

Rocking Ready and Strandella Road filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta charging down the hill at this class level last time out.  Travieza and Spiel likewise completed the Trifecta over this course last time out.

My Princess Taylor could move up off the freshening.  Sutro could improve with a cleaner break.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4 with 3 with 1 with 12 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,3,5 with ALL with 1,2,3,5,10,12 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,3,6 with 3 with 1 with 12 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 7 with 1 with 12 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3 with 1 with 8,11 $1.00

Total: $58.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:10 EST / 3:10 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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