It's Super Bowl Sunday, which means an early Post Time for Santa Anita and other west coast race tracks. It also means the annual Super Bowl Starter Handicap will be contested; a race which I'll be looking at below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - Hcp 25000s - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Aquaphobia (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Rye Patch (ML 20-1)
# 5 Lazzam (GB) (ML 7-2)
# 6 Urban Bourbon (ML 4-1)
# 9 Kristi's Copilot (ML 8-1)
This is the Super Bowl Handicap; an event open to any runner four years old and upward which has started for a claiming price of $25k either this year or last. Aquaphobia, shipping in from the east, looks by far the classiest in this field. Singling in a turf race isn't something I relish; but if Aquaphobia repeats any of his more recent efforts, then he'll be unbeatable today.
Rye Patch and Kristi's Copilot are the most likely pacesetters, while Lazzam (GB) looks to be the one that will be running best late. Urban Bourbon is trained by Billy Morey, whose runners have been doing quite well this meet, even when not well backed at the windows.
RACE 7 - (F) Md $30k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Tapitha Bonita (ML 8-1)
# 9 Mischievious Lass (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 All Net (ML 5-2)
# 6 Taylorealswift (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Mischievious Lass, Taylorealswift, and Tapitha Bonita filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out. I think Tapitha Bonita, who was trying two turn racing for the first time in that contest, may be in position to make the biggest move forward today. All Net, running for the first time for a tag as well as for the first time on a Fast dirt track, may respond well to the changes.
RACE 8 - Clm $8k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 South Texas Lingo (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 4 Freddies Dream (ML 6-1)
# 5 Sense of Glory (ML 15-1)
# 10 Kochees (ML 3-1)
# 11 Roman Tizzy (ML 5-1)
# 12 Winning Causeway (ML 15-1)
C's
# 8 Private Prospect (ML 8-1)
# 9 Chromium (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Ajac (ML 30-1)
South Texas Lingo enters this contest with a two race winning streak, both at today's class level. Freddies Dream took the Place against more expensive stock last time out. Sense of Glory could move up with one less turn to navigate.
Kochees ships in from upstate for Trainer Jonathan Wong, and could move up with the return to real dirt. Winning Causeway and Roman Tizzy filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out competing just one run below this contest on the class ladder, and both could move up with the reduction in real estate. Chromiun and Private Prospect are two more that are moving up a notch in class Sunday after having run well last time out.
RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 5 Diva La Mousse (ML 4-1)
B's
# 2 Tell Me More (ML 6-1)
# 6 Paddy Jean (ML 7-2)
# 8 My Party Girl (ML 5-1)
# 9 Bissou Bissou (ML 20-1)
# 11 Arrowsphere (ML 4-1)
C's
# 4 Foxtail (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 7 Del Mar Diva (ML 20-1)
Diva La Mousse drops in for a tag for the first time after having twice hit the board while charging down the hill against non-Claiming Maidens. Tell Me More and Bissou Bissou, both trained by Peter Miller, are trying turf for the first time; and the breeding for each suggests that they will do well with the surface switch.
Paddy Jean seems to settle for too many minor awards; but perhaps today she'll figure it out. My Party Girl is a second time starter for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who tends to do well with such.
Arrowsphere should improve with the return to turf. Foxtail is a first time starter who has trained well for this contest, though she may be in over her head in this field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2 with 7,9 with 1 with 5 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2 with 4,6,7,9 with 1,4,5,10,11,12 with 2,5,6,8,9,11 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5,6,9 with 7,9 with 1 with 5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 7,9 with 8,9 with 5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 7,9 with 1 with 4 $1.00
Total: $81.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 4:24 EST / 1:34 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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