The final four sequence for Saturday's card in Acadia leans heavily on those who have rarely or never visited the winner's circle; as we have one contest for lifetime non-winners of two, along with a pair of juvenile events for runners with even fewer victories. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Baby Ice (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 1 As a Rule (ML 8-1)
# 2 Dressed in Prada (ML 7-2)
C's
# 4 Fellina (ML 30-1)
# 5 Sharona Sunset (ML 2-1)
# 7 Swallows Inn Gal (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 6 Wicked Sunset (ML 10-1)
Fellina is one-for-twenty in her career, while Sharona Sunset and Swallows Inn Gal are each one-for-eighteen lifetime. That's why they're the backup "C" Selections; they've already shown that winning isn't something that rates high on their lists of things to do. Baby Ice and Dressed in Prada both graduated last time out, while As a Rule got her solo victory two starts back. As those three haven't yet shown a real reluctance for getting their picture taken, I'll be using them on the big ticket.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Fairy Tale Bliss (ML 4-1)
B's
# 4 Flying Blue (ML 10-1)
# 8 Posh Holly (Ire) (ML 2-1)
# 9 Ask the Customer (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Unbridled Huntress (ML 20-1)
# 3 Mercy Mercy (ML 10-1)
# 5 Hurley (ML 12-1)
# 7 Shes All Woman (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 6 Bellazano (ML 12-1)
Fairy Tale Bliss and Flying Blue each ran well in their debuts at Del Mar and Golden Gate, respectively. Posh Holly (Ire) took the Show behind a next out winner in her last race before shipping to North America.
Ask the Customer didn't show much in her turf debut two starts back; but Ask the Customer did run well on the main track last time out, so perhaps the poor grass effort was a matter of form rather than surface. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - [S] OC 16k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Ninety Nine Proof (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 4 Fire to the Wire (ML 4-1)
# 6 King Abner (ML 3-1)
# 8 Tough But Nice (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Hot Perfection (ML 20-1)
# 3 Tanners Pride (ML 12-1)
# 7 Minoso (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 5 Older Brother (ML 8-1)
For those curious, this contest allows California sired runners as well as California breds to enter; which is why Kentucky bred Tough But Nice is eligible to compete here, as his sire, Good Journey, stood at Magali Farms.
Ninety Nine Proof won at this level last time out, with King Abner and Tough But Nice filling out the Trifecta behind him. Note that Ninety Nine Proof is the only runner in this contest that's in for a tag.
Fire to the Wire defeated open N3L company last time out over this main track. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 5 Vantastic (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Storms River (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Temple Secret (ML 5-1)
# 3 Platinum Nights (ML 6-1)
# 4 Afleeting Life (ML 10-1)
# 6 Bold Endeavor (ML 12-1)
# 7 Bob and Jackie (ML 6-1)
# 8 Volubile (ML 6-1)
# 9 Indy Jones (ML 20-1)
Seven of the nine entrants in the contest are first time starters, and neither of the two experienced runners has ever competed on the grass. So if you've got deep pockets, you'll probably want to spread as wide as possible in this leg. I decided to go with Vantastic, the better of the two experienced combatants, and Storms River, who looks best among the first time starters, and just sit back and see what happens. As you probably already guessed, the backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 2 with 1 with 5 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3 with 2,4,8,9 with 1,4,6,8 with 1,5 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5,7 with 2 with 1 with 5 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,3,5,7 with 1 with 5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2 with 2,3,7 with 5 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2 with 1 with 2,3,4,6,7,8,9 $3.50
Total: $57.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:08 EDT / 3:08 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
No comments:
Post a Comment