Wednesday, January 18, 2023

1/18/23 Turfway Park Late Pick Five - Preview

“Challenges are what make life interesting and overcoming them is what makes life meaningful.” - Joshua J. Marine

Since everyone whiffed on The Late Pick Five @ Turfway Park on Saturday, January 14, there will be a carryover of $32,413.50 fed into Wednesday's Late Pick Five pool.  While I certainly prefer playing The Pick Four, free money is, well, free money; and sometimes you just have to take up the challenge and give it a shot.  Though, to be honest, I may have squandered more bullets than necessary in this shot, as I was unable to designate any of my "A" Selections as a main ticket single.  So with all that as prelude let's just get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Five at Turfway Park.

RACE 4 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Spears Mill (Morning Line 5-2)

B's

# 9 Wishing On a Star (ML 7-2)+

C's

# 1 Broadband (ML 30-1)
# 3 Poronui (ML 9-2)
# 6 Missoni (ML 3-1)

Scratch # 2 Reverb (ML 8-1) and # 7 Awesome Ally Vee (ML 6-1)

Apologies in advance, but as time has slipped away from me, comments will be truncated.  The scratch of Awesome Ally Vee was unfortunate, as Awesome Ally Vee showed signs of being live at a price.  I'm looking for this leg to be mostly formful, though I am against Missoni, as I don't think Missoni will graduate at a two turn distance without dropping in for a tag.

RACE 5 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Daring Do (ML 3-1)

B's

# 7 Wild Acclaim (ML 5-2)+

C's

# 1 Garden Belle (ML 20-1)
# 2 Public Garden (ML 6-1)
# 6 Sweet Sweetfantasy (ML 30-1)+
# 9 Lady Lowery (ML 15-1)
# 11Pigalle (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 8 Who Runs the World (ML 7-2), along with the Also Eligibles, # 13 Tammy Tap Tap Tap (ML 8-1) and # 14 A Star for Cora (ML 30-1)

These were juveniles less than a month ago, and more than half of this field are making their debut tonight.  Daring Do is the one trained by Wesley Ward; which is why Daring Do is occupying the top spot among my selections.

RACE 6 - OC 50k B - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Bad Beat Brian (ML 3-1)

B's

# 4 Rustler (ML 15-1)
# 5 Ready for a Fight (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Gun It (ML 8-1)
# 2 Night Time (ML 2-1)+
# 6 Friar Laurence (ML 15-1)
# 7 Bakers Bay (ML 6-1)
# 8 Blue Kentucky (ML 5-1)+

For those who note such things, none in this field are in for the $50k price tag.

Night Time needed a quick pace to close into last time out; I don't see Night Time getting that same pace setup tonight.  Also note that Night Time's last win was in an off the turf contest run over a sealed main track.  As a sealed track is perhaps the exact opposite of an all-weather synthetic surface, I'm not optimistic regarding Night Time's chances tonight.

RACE 7 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 4 Ravella (ML 7-2)

B's

# 5 Worry Free (ML 9-2)
# 6 Lucy's Cakes Fly (ML 8-1)

C's

# 2 Brittle and Yoo (ML 10-1)
# 7 In My Opinion (ML 20-1)
# 9 Foxy Diva (ML 30-1)
# 10 Quaria Brava (ML 20-1)
# 11 Story Hour (ML 15-1)
# 12 Wicked Intent (ML 20-1)
# 13 Social Mandate (ML 15-1)+
# 14 Hattie M (ML 30-1)

Scratch # 1 Scenic Masterpiece (ML 5-1); # 3 With Bells On (ML 5-1); and # 8 Sake (Fr) (ML 5-1)

I was hoping to go two deep here; Ravella with With Bells On.  But the scratch of With Bells On changed all that.  I probably should have only elevated one of Worry Free and Lucy's Cakes Fly; but, being unable to choose between the two, both find their way onto my main ticket.

RACE 8 - (F) Md $30k - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 13 Chippewa (ML 5-1)

B's

# 6 Reina Bella (ML 8-1)+
# 9 Teshima (ML 7-2)
# 10 Proud Performer (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Queen Tapiture (ML 4-1)+
# 2 For the Biscuit (ML 12-1)
# 3 Ms. the Law (ML9-2)
# 5 Recite (ML 20-1)
# 7 Lution (ML 20-1)
# 8 Now Heres the Plan (ML 20-1)
# 11 All the Envy (ML 12-1)+
# 12 Story Channel (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 4 Yoga (ML 8-1) and # 14 Midnight Favorite (ML 5-1)

Were I of the mind to invest more in this play, this is the leg where I would go deeper.  Or maybe I would single, and just roll the dice with Chippewa.

Alright; here are the above selections in chart form:











And, with a hat tip to Steve Crist, here are the tickets that I'll be playing:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 5 with 3 with 4 with 13 $1.00

All A Entries with All B+ Entries

$1.00 P4: 5,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 4 with 6,13 $8.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 5,7 with 3,4,5 with 4,5,6 with 6,9,10,13 $72.00

A's and B+'s with One C+

$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 6 with 3 with 4 with 6,13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 5,7 with 2,8 with 4 with 6,13 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 13 with 6,13 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 4 with 1,11 $4.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,3,6 with 5 with 3 with 4 with 13 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,2,9,11 with 3 with 4 with 13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 1,6,7 with 4 with 13 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 3 with 2,7,9,10,11,12,14 with 13 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 3 with 4 with 2,3,5,7,8,12 $3.00

Total: $110.50

Post Time for Race 4 is 7:25 EST / 4:25 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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