RACE 6 - Md $30k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Soul Crusher (Morning Line 2-1)
B's
# 1 Hye I'm Jack (ML 5-2)
Soul Crusher drops back down into the Maiden Claiming ranks after earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure against non-claiming Maidens. Hye I'm Jack moves from state bred restricted fields into open company, so the lower price tag really isn't a class drop; but Hye I'm Jack does project to be early speed on the rail, and that could prove to be dangerous in this field.
RACE 7 - The Lazaro Berrera (Grade 3) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Yiannis (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Forest Blue (ML 8-1)
# 5 The Gomper (ML 4-1)
# 2 The Man (ML 4-1) has been scratched.
Yiannis, the only runner in this contest not trained by either Jerry Hollendorfer or Peter Miller, is also the only runner in this contest to have won against stakes competition, having crossed the wire first last time out in the San Pedro. Forest Blue is a second time starter who was pulling away from the field in the stretch in his debut win at six furlongs. The Gomper, moving from the barn of Trainer Ron Ellis to Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, looks to be the one that could be running best late.
# 7 Kentuckian (ML 5-2), trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and ridden by Mike Smith, is sired by Tiznow out of an Unbridled's Song mare; to me, that means that this horse is much better suited to grass than to a fast dirt track. That's not to say that Kentuckian can't win today, as he is a talented horse; but it does mean that I won't be using him in our Late Pick Four play; so if Kentuckian wins today, he will turn our Late Pick Four tickets into trash.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Moanin (Fr) (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Diamond Stilettos (Ire) (ML 6-1)
Moanin (Fr) took the Place last time out at this class level in her North American debut. Moanin was a two time Allowance company winner in her native France. Diamond Stilettos missed by just a length at this class level last time out; the turnback in distance could prove beneficial.
RACE 9 - Clm $8k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Buffalo (Brz) (ML 5-1)
# 7 Trucial State (ML 8-1)
# 12 Bixley (ML 5-2)
# 13 On the Key (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 1 Fonz (ML 3-1)
# 5 Broadway Nika (ML 6-1)
# 8 Relentless Heat (ML 4-1)
# 10 Titled Nobility (ML 15-1)
# 4 Dekko (Arg) (No Line), # 6 Two Is to Many (NL), and # 11 Pioneer Charlie (NL) are all program scratches.
Buffalo (Brz), a stakes winner in his native Brazil, drops into the lowest price tag of his career. Trucial State took the Place at this class level last time out. Four starts back, Trucial won at this class level. On the Key ships in from out of state, having earned this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure.
Bixley is pretty much the definition of a suspicious class drop, returning as he is to competition after a ten month layoff after having defeated much more expensive stock last time out. Still, Trainer Robertino Diodoro wins frequently enough with those coming back from an extended holiday that Bixley must be respected here.
Fonz has finished in the money each of the last three times that today's jockey, Rafael Bejarano, was on his back. However, Fonz is moving today from conditioned claimers to the open claiming ranks, so the lower price tag really isn't a true class drop.
Broadway Nika won by the length of the grandstand three starts back against more expensive stock. In two of the three starts prior to that one, Broadway Nika recorded victories at today's class level. Relentless Heat took the Show at this class level last time out. Titled Nobility took the Show against more expensive three starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in the abbreviated Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$0.50 P4: 9 with 1 with 1 with 2,7,12,13 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,9 with 1,4,5 with 1,2 with 1,2,5,7,8,10,12,13 $48.00
Total: $50.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:07 EDT / 3:07 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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