RACE 6 - Clm $25k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Nextdoorneighbor (Morning Line 8-5)
B’s
# 11 Oligarch (ML 5-1)
# 1 I'm Not Gray (NL) and # 7 Grazen's Hope (NL) are program scratches.
Nextdoorneighbor misses by just half a length of entering this contest with a five race winning streak. Nextdoorneighbor's one loss during that stretch came at this class level in February to Oligarch. These two appear to be a few strides ahead of the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 13 May B (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 5 Pat the Bear (ML 4-1)
# 8 Cherubim (ML 5-1)
# 9 Success Rate (ML 15-1)
C's
# 10 Bronze Star (ML 12-1)
# 3 Back to Bako (NL) is a program scratch.
May B took the Place at this class level over this main track last time out, in the process earning a Beyer's Speed Figure equaling his career best, which had been earned in his debut last June. Pat the Bear has finished in the Exacta in all three of his prior career races over this main track.
Cherubim returns to action after a six month vacation; Trainer Phil D'Amato wins with nearly one third of such. Cherubim also posted a nice bullet work over this main track last Saturday, so he should be ready to roll today.
Success Rate did a fine job rating last time out over this main track, earning a Beyer Speed Figure in the process that fits in well with the contenders in this field. Bronze Star probably needs a race, but the possibility of getting double digit odds on the tandem of Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer and Jockey Mike Smith is just too tempting to completely pass up.
RACE 8 - The American (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Winning Prize (Arg) (ML 5-2)
B's
# 5 Talco (Fr) (ML 5-2)
# 8 Bal a Bali (Brz) (ML 9-5)
Winning Prize (Arg) was just a head behind Talco (Fr) at the wire last time out over this turf course in the Thunder Road Stakes. I expect Winning Prize to turn the tables on Talco today because I feel that Winning Prize is more likely to move forward off of last month's effort, because Winning Prize has shown in the past the ability to do better than he did in the Thunder Road; meanwhile, Talco's effort in that contest was a career best for him, so I would not be surprised to see Talco take a step back off that effort today. Still, these are both two talented horses who fit well at this level, and either of them could win today.
Bal a Bali (Brz) is listed as the Morning Line Favorite here; and to be honest, I certainly wouldn't bet him in the Win Pool at odds of 9-5. Bal a Bali, in addition to making his North American debut, is also making his first start in eleven months. There is certainly talent here, as can be seen by all the Graded Stakes victories, which is why Bal a Bali is on this ticket; note especially the win in the Grade 1 Estado de Rio de Jeneiro, where Bal a Bali covered the eight furlongs in 1:31 1/5. But for a Win Pool wager, I'd be looking to get longer odds than the Morning Line for a runner that seems to be merely prepping for bigger things later this Summer and Fall.
RACE 9 - Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Go Jeremiah (ML 6-1)
# 10 Sure Victory (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Hired Gun (ML 10-1)
# 4 Practical (ML 6-1)
# 9 Smooven Square (ML 5-1) has been scratched.
Go Jeremiah took the Place at this class level last time out. Sure Victory makes his first start after an extended layoff for Trainer Phil D'Amato. Hired Gun drops in class for his second career start for Trainer Doug O'Neill. Practical lead most of the way at this class level last time out before settling for the Show; perhaps the turn back in distance will be enough to get him into the Winner's Circle today.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 9 with 13 with 3 with 5.10 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 9,11 with 5,8,9,13 with 3,5,8 with 1,4,5,10 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 9 with 10 with 3 with 5,10 $1.00
Total: $51.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:07 EDT / 3:07 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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