Saturday, September 17, 2016

9/17/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview

Juvenile fillies are showcased in The Barretts Debutante, today's featured race on the SoCal thoroughbred scene.  We'll be taking a look at that contest below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.

RACE 6 - [S] OC 20k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Family Code (Morning Line 3-1)

B’s

# 2 Start a Runnin (ML 9-2)
# 4 Eddie's Turn (ML 2-1)
# 6 Dr. Go (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Lindante (ML 4-1)
# 3 Packin Heat (ML 12-1)

Family Code has finished in the Trifecta at this approximate class level in two of his last three starts.  Family Code did not fare well in his one prior try around two turns, but I'm willing to forgive that effort, coming as it did against stakes company.

Start a Runnin missed by a neck against open $50k Claimers two starts back; and while that contest was on the grass, the fact that both of Start a Runnin's career Wins have come on the dirt suggests that his form should hold today.  

Eddie's Turn goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who tends to do well with such.  Eddie's Turn was also victorious at this class level three starts back; but that was nearly two years ago.

Dr. Go is the only entrant in this field with a Win over this track.  Lindante has proven to be competitive at this class level, but on the turf.  Lindante will need to show that he can bring his form onto the main track.  Packin Heat is on our tickets because everyone else is.

RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N$Y - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Perfect Pic (ML 2-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 3 Wild At Heart (ML 5-2)
# 5 Sturdy One (ML 4-1)
# 6 Mysterious Miracle (ML 6-1)


Scratch # 4 Parasail (ML 20-1)

Perfect Pic won her debut at Del Mar last time out by the length of the stretch.  The Place horse in that contest, Breathe, has yet to finish out of the money in three career starts; while the Show horse, Untouchable U, won Race 8 here Friday.

Wild At Heart returns to competition after a six month absence, having missed last time out by just a nose at this approximate class level.  Sturdy One took the Place at this approximate class level last time out, albeit on the grass.  Mysterious Miracle disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out after having taken the Place at this approximate class level two starts back.

RACE 8 - (F) The Barretts Debutante $100k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Spooky Woods (ML 5-2)
# 5 Diva La Mousse (ML 3-1)

B's

# 2 Adorable (ML 3-1)
# 6 Bitzka (ML 8-5)

C's

None

Spooky Woods is a first time starter for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer.  Spooky Woods has been working well over this track, though the break needed after the August 19 workout is a concern.  Diva La Mousse showed good early speed in her debut last time out for Trainer Bob Baffert.

Adorable, whose best efforts to date have been around just one turn, is the "other" Baffert.  Bitzka is the only entrant in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle, having won her debut against Maiden Claimers last time out.

RACE 9 - (F) Alw 25000s - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Girl Downstairs (ML 3-1)
# 3 Margie's Minute (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 6 Kyankes (ML 9-2)
# 7 Arewehavingfunyet (ML 7-2)
# 8 Backintheacademy (ML 10-1)

C's

None

Note for future reference that there is no lifetime Win restriction for entrants in this contest, as is frequently the case in SoCal Starter Allowances.  Rather, this one is for fillies and mares that have started for a claiming price of $25k or less either this year or last, and have not won a Claiming, Starter, or Optional Claiming race in excess of $25k since.

Girl Downstairs was within a length of the winner last time against open $32k claimers, albeit on the grass.  Still, Girl Downstairs' form should stay with her, as both of her career wins have come over a Fast dirt track.  Margie's Minute has finished in the Trifecta six of the seven times that she has competed over this main track.

Kyankes goes first off the claim for Trainer Hector Palma, who tends to do well with such.  Arewehavingfunyet could be rounding up to a back number.  Backintheacademy could be the one running best late.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 1 with 1,5 with 2,3 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,4,5,6 with 1 with 1,2,5,6 with 2,3,6,7,8 $40.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,3 with 1 with 1,5 with 2,3 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 3,5,6 with 1,5 with 2,3 $6.00

Total: $54.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:28 EDT / 4:28 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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