Sunday, September 25, 2016

9/25/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview

Sunday marks the final day of the September Meet for Thoroughbreds at Los Alamitos; and that's all I have by way of introduction.  So let's just get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.

RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Thunder Basin (Morning Line 9-5)

B’s

# 6 What We Doing (ML 8-1)
# 7 Swiss Cheese (ML 5-2)
# 8 Changing Karma (ML 4-1)

C's

None

This one should really have been labeled as N2X rather than N2L; just a little something to keep in mind down the road when viewing this contest in the Past Performances.

Thunder Basin defeated more expensive last time out.  What We Doing caught some bad luck in his trip last time out, but was still able to hold on for the Show at this class level.  Swiss Cheese defeated cheaper but unconditioned claimers last time out.  Changing Karma reunites with the jockey that was on his back for each of his last two victories.

RACE 7 - [S] OC 20k/N$Y - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Prohibition Repeal (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 2 Never Say Try (ML 2-1)
# 5 Signature Cat (ML 4-1)

C's

# 7 Odin (ML 4-1)

Prohibition Repeal won by daylight at this class level last time out.  Never Say Try, who finished well back in that contest, could improve today if he can keep from getting fried in an early speed duel.

Signature Cat goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who tends to do well with such.  Odin appears better suited to non-dirt surfaces; but Odin's most recent effort may suggest that he's ready to move forward.

RACE 8 - OC 40k/N$Y - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Lucky J Lane (ML 3-1)
# 6 Tough It Out (ML 7-2)
# 8 Pretentious (ML 12-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 3 Ten Blessings (ML 5-2)
# 4 Indygo Holiday (ML 20-1)


Lucky J Lane has been within two lengths of the winner at the wire in each of his two previous career tries on a Fast dirt track.  Tough It Out has proven competitive at the state-bred stakes level, and could improve going third off the layoff.  Pretentious took the Show at this class level the last time that he went around two turns on a Fast dirt track.

Ten Blessings, who disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out, will try two turns for the first time.  Indygo Holiday was victorious the only prior time that he competed over this main track.

RACE 9 - Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Resistanceisfutile (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 Olimpio's Scat Cat (ML 4-1)
# 9 Warren My Boy (ML 3-1)
# 10 Silver Charm (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Resistanceisfutile has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last three starts.  Olimpio's Scat Cat took the Show at this class level last time out.  Warren My Boy has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts.  Silver Chrome took the Show at this class level the last time that he had to go around only one turn.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 2,6,8 with 6 $3.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,6,7,8 with 2,4,5 with 2,6,8 with 2,6,9,10 $72.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1 with 7 with 2,6,8 with 6 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 3,4 with 6 $1.00

Total: $77.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:28 EDT / 4:28 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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