Monday, September 5, 2016

9/5/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

"Sometimes it's important to work for that pot of gold. But other times it's essential to take time off and to make sure that your most important decision in the day simply consists of choosing which color to slide down on the rainbow." - Douglas Pagels

And so we make it to Labor Day, the unofficial end of Summer, as well as being the final day of the Del Mar Summer Meet.  Juveniles occupy the field in half of the final four races on Monday's card, which includes The Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf.  We'll be looking at that contest below, as we take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Saint Dermot (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 4 Prince of Arabia (ML 10-1)
# 7 Brimstoned (ML 8-1)

C's

# 5 Banze No Oeste (Brz) (ML 15-1)
# 6 Ain't Misbehaving (ML 7-2)
# 10 St. Joe Bay (ML 6-1)


Saint Dermot missed victory by just a head at this class level last time, and could benefit from having to cover less real estate today.  Prince of Arabia hit the board in each of his last two contests on the main track, both against classier competition.  Brimstoned took the Show at this class level the last time that he went around two turns on the main track.

Banze No Oeste (Brz) worked well over this main track on the 28th.  Ain't Misbehaving misses by just half a length of entering this contest with a four race winning streak, all against less company.  St. Joe Bay has proven to be competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.

RACE 8 - (F) The Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf $100k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 13 With Honors (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Blame It On Alphie (ML 9-2)
# 2 Auntjenn (ML 6-1)

# 5 You Missed It (ML 8-1)
# 6 Go Argento (ML 8-1)
# 11 Simmy's Temple (ML 8-1)
# 12 Lady Beware (Ire) (ML 20-1)


C's

# 4 Jami Racer (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 3 Red Livy (Ire) (ML 20-1)

With Honors and Blame It On Alphie were both winners in their respective debuts; I give the edge to With Honors as I think Blame It On Alphie will be disadvantaged by the rail draw.

Auntjenn should be forwardedly placed early.  You Missed It was less than a length behind With Honors at the wire last time out.  Go Argento was just a length behind Blame It On Alphie at the wire last time out.

Simmy's Temple showed good improvement when graduating last time out.  Lady Beward (Ire) showed good early speed while competing in her native Ireland.  Jami Racer may be able to settle into a nice stalking trip today.

RACE 9 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Bird Is the Word (ML 6-1)
# 8 Big Gray Rocket (ML 9-5)
# 9 Antioch (ML 7-2)

B's

None

C's

None

Scratch # 10 Cut (No Line) and # 11 Golden Reward (NL)

Big Gray Rocket showed some real ability last time out, once he figured out that there was a race going on and that he was in it.  Antioch and Bird Is the Word are also making their respective second career starts, and each could move forward with the experience.

RACE 10 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Fin de Semaine (ML 9-2)

B’s

# 5 Bronzino (Fr) (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 Foray (ML 5-1)
# 8 Radio Silent (ML 6-1)
# 11 Spitfire (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 13 Royalish (ML 4-1) off the Also Eligible List

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career (N2L), as the Daily Racing Form does not include that information in the running lines of their Past Performances; at least, not at the present time.

Fin de Semaine missed victory by just a length at this class level last time out, and could benefit from the added half furlong in today's contest.  Bronzino (Fr) has taken the Show each of the last three times that he has competed at today's class level on the turf.

Foray faded in the stretch in his last attempt at this class level, but may have an easier time getting the early lead today.  Radio Silent and Spitfire have both finished in the Trifecta at this class level on the dirt, and they each have the pedigree to suggest that they can carry that form onto the turf course.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3 with 13 with 5,8,9 with 1 $3.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,4,7 with 1,2,5,6,11,12,13 with 5,8,9 with 1,5 $63.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 5,6,10 with 13 with 5,8,9 with 1 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 5,8,9 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 13 with 5,8,9 with 3,8,11 $4.50

Total: $76.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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