Sunday, June 11, 2017

6/11/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

It looks like while most everyone was focused on the Belmont Stakes card yesterday, somebody was busy scooping the pot in The Golden Pick Six pool at Golden Gate Fields.  So God bless them as they spend their winnings; as for me, that take down means that I can continue working a lighter load; which is what I plan to do today, as I take another run at at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Lady Beware (Ire) (Morning Line 4-1)

B’s

# 3 Sheeza Sassy Girl (ML 8-1)
# 7 Fiery Lady (ML 8-1)

C's

# 2 Lucky Christiana (ML 2-1)
# 4 Shari (ML 15-1)
# 5 Everybody Does It (ML 30-1)
# 8 Simmy's Temple (GB) (ML 3-1)

Scratch # 1 Dreamy Gal (Ire) (ML 5-1)

Lady Beware (Ire) ships in from downstate and could benefit from the class drop.  Sheeza Sassy Girl was victorious at this class level the one and only prior time in her career that she competed on some California grass.  Fiery Lady showed good form in her turf debut two starts back.

Lucky Christiana showed good form in each of her prior starts, but she may not yet be ready for two turn racing.  Shari took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit over the main track.  Everybody Does It is on the ticket because everybody else is.  Simmy's Temple (GB) has been competitive at this class level in the past, but has now been moved to a less successful barn.

RACE 7 - MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Globalization (ML 2-1)
# 5 Rule Number Eight (ML 4-1)

B's

# 3 Luke Thirteen (ML 9-2)
# 4 Lion Command (ML 7-2)

C's

# 7 Lil' Chieftain (ML 8-1)

Globalization is a first time starter for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who tends to do well with such.  Rule Number Eight could benefit from the return to one turn racing.

Lion Command and Luke Thirteen filled out the bottom two slots in the Trifecta at this class level last month over this main track.  Lil' Chieftain has proven competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.

RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A's

# 7 Brookys Star (ML 9-5)

B's

# 4 Generous Pour (ML 2-1)
# 6 Tequila Mary (ML 9-2)
# 8 Hal's Buddy (ML 8-1)

C's

# 5 Briactic Gal (ML 8-1)

Brookys Star took the Place at this class level last time over this turf course, and could benefit from having to cover less real estate today.  Generous Pour ships in from downstate and could move up with the class drop.  Tequila Mary has won more than her fair share of starts over this turf course, albeit against lesser company.

Hal's Buddy took the Show behind Brookys Star last time out.  Briactic Gal has proven competitive at this class level, albeit while sprinting over the main track.

RACE 9 - Clm $4k B - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Jayhawker (ML 4-1)
# 9 Fort Cady (ML 8-1)

B's

None

C's

# 3 Papa Kade (ML 2-1)
# 5 Moogie Woogie (ML 9-2)
# 6 Underwrite (ML 8-1)
# 7 Curly Boy (ML 5-1)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since April 15, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have come since the middle of April (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $3.5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals).  For the record, # 2 Jayhawker (ML 4-1) is the only runner in this field with fewer than four career Wins.

Jayhawker was an easy winner over this main track last time out at this approximate class level (higher price tag but for Non-Winners of Three Lifetime).  Note that Jayhawker's trainer, Robert Hess Sr, tends to do well when placing his last out winners in the claiming ranks.

Fort Cady took the Show at this class level last time out, after getting his picture taken at this approximate class level (lower claiming price but no conditions) two starts back.  Papa Kade's early speed has not held up the last two times that he has tried this class level, but that could change today.

Moogie Woogie and Underwrite are two that could move up with the class drop.  Curly Boy didn't show much in his return from the year long layoff last time out; it's possible that he may have simply needed that race, though the class drop off that effort suggests that he's not the runner that he used to be.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 2,5 with 7 with 2,9 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,6,7 with 2,3,4,5 with 4,6,7,8 with 2,9 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,4,5,8 with 2,5 with 7 with 2,9 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7 with 7 with 2,9 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2,5 with 5 with 2,9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2,5 with 7 with 3,5,6,7 $4.00

Total: $67.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:49 EDT / 3:49 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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