Sunday, June 4, 2017

6/4/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

As mentioned yesterday, The Golden Pick Six Jackpot at Golden Gate Fields was scooped Friday; which gives me an excellent excuse to lighten my workload a bit and give the jackpot a chance to build back up.  So with that as backdrop let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Lazzam (GB) (Morning Line 8-5)
# 7 Sharpener (ML 5-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 3 Junior G Man (ML 9-2)
# 4 Global Event (ML 5-2)

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less.  For the record, # 5 Manitou (ML 10-1), # 6 Chanted (ML 10-1), and # 7 Sharpener (ML 5-1) are the three runners in this field that have made just one trip to the Winner's Circle in their respective careers.

Lazzam (GB) won by as many as he wanted last time out in his first go round over this turf course, albeit for different connections.  Sharpener took the Place at this class level two starts back against a next out winner.  Junior G Man and Global Event filled out the bottom two slots in the Trifecta at this class level last time, albeit on the main track.

RACE 7 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Regal Born (ML 2-1)
# 6 On Trust (ML 9-5)

B's

# 5 Trickonomics (ML 3-1)
# 9 White Falcon (ML 20-1)

C's

None

Regal Born finished in the Trifecta in each of his three prior career starts, all at this class level.  On Trust took the Place in front of Regal Born last time out, after taking the Show behind Regal Born two starts back.

Trickonomics was less than a length behind Regal Born and On Trust at the wire last time out.  White Falcon could compete if he can return to the form that he was showing earlier this year.

RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 9 Telluric (ML 10-1)

B’s

# 7 Academic Code (ML 5-2)
# 10 An Khe Pass (ML 3-1)

C's

# 3 If Ur Not Early (ML 8-1)
# 8 Two the Punch (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 1 Meggy's Amazing (ML 10-1)

Telluric graduated by daylight last time out, and has been showing steady, constant improvement in each of his races.  Academic Code took the Place at this class level last time out.

An Khe Pass graduated against non-claiming maidens two starts back, and then went on the shelf for about four months.  The fact that An Khe Pass is now being put in for a tag this cheap after showing nothing in his return off the layoff last time out probably means that An Khe Pass is not the same horse that he once was.  But it's possible for An Khe Pass to win this contest even without being as good as he once was; and besides, Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer may be putting him in this cheap as a bluff, figuring that no one will claim An Khe Pass because of suspicions that he can no longer run.

If Ur Not Early took the Show behind Academic Code at this class level last time out.  Two the Punch could improve with the turnback in distance along with the return to the main track.

RACE 9 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Cut (ML 3-1)

B's

# 3 Lion Command (ML 3-1)
# 6 Indium (ML 5-2)
# 9 Mini Bar (ML 8-1)

C's

# 1 Lucky Bode (ML 15-1)
# 5 Fantastic Aragorn (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 7 Gallant Heat (ML 6-1)

Cut has proven to be competitive at this class level, and could move forward with the return to the grass.  Lion Command took the Place at this class level last time out.  Indium could improve moving to the flats after charging down the Santa Anita Hill in his debut last time out.  Mini Bar took the Show in each of his two prior tries on the lawn at this class level.

Lucky Bode could compete if he returns to the form that he showed last Fall.  Fantastic Aragorn closed well against state bred non-claiming maidens on the turf last time out.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2,7 with 4,6 with 9 with 2 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 4,5,6,9 with 7,9,10 with 2,3,6,9 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 4,6 with 9 with 2 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 4,6 with 3,8 with 2 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 4,6 with 9 with 1,5 $4.00

Total: $62.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:49 EDT / 3:49 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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