Saturday, June 17, 2017

6/17/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

Since Sunday is the final day of the current meet at Golden Gate Fields, there will be a mandatory payout of the entire Golden Pick Six Jackpot on that day.  Therefore, I decided that Saturday would be a good day to allow that jackpot to grow without me contributing to the pool; a decision that was aided by the fact that I found putting together just a Late Pick Four play was a hard row to hoe.  But hoe it I did, for better or for worse; so let's get to it, as I take another run at at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 7 - Clm $6.25k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Gurnick (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 2 Danas Best (ML 5-2)

C's

# 1 Nahem (ML 3-1)
# 7 Press Baron (ML 8-1)
# 8 Rockin Robin (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 3 Whilly Pink (ML 15-1)

Gurnick was out classed last time out, in addition to having to compete at a distance further than he prefers.  The drop back into a class level at which he was victorious two starts back combined with having to cover less real estate should make for an improved effort from Gurnick today.

Danas Best and Nahem were just a nose apart at the wire while filling out the Exacta at this class level last time out.  I give the edge to Danas Best today because I think he's more likely than Nahem to avoid getting caught up in an early speed duel with Rockin Robin, and thus have more in the tank for the stretch run.

Press Baron moves up in class after having defeated a next out winner last time out.  Rockin Robin looks to be the speed of the speed; a factor that must be respected on all surfaces.

RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Kimberlea K (ML 5-2)
# 2 Bornonvalentineday (ML 10-1)

B's

# 5 Colonel Deering (ML 15-1)
# 8 Royal Lookin (ML 20-1)
# 9 Miss Shirley C (ML 3-1)

C's

# 6 Tiger Mom (ML 4-1)
# 10 Silver One (ML 20-1)


Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 11 Boot Scootin' Kid (ML 8-1) and # 12 Lucky Antares (ML 8-1)

These are all two year old fillies that have never competed before, with the exception of Colonel Deering, who took the Place against the boys in her debut last time out with a price tag on her head.  Quite frankly, this type is race probably deserves a punch in the "ALL" button, especially since its placement on the card means that there's no way to see how the wagering is going prior to jumping into The Late Pick Four pool.  The selections above are my best guess based primarily upon breeding, connections, and published workouts; but if you've got a big enough budget, I would suggest just picking "ALL".

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 She'll Get're Done (ML 3-1)
# 7 Sooner Time (ML 7-2)

B’s

None

C's

# 1 Golden Sale (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 2 Croix Du Soleil (No Line)

She'll Get're Done seems to settle for too many minor awards; but she has defeated Winners in her career, and she certainly figures at this class level.  Sooner Time took the Place while disappointing as the Favorite at this class level last time out.  Golden Sale won by the length of the stretch in her nineteenth start last time out; perhaps it finally clicked in her head what these contests are all about.

RACE 10 - (F) Md $20k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Ragazza Di Vola (ML 9-2)
# 8 Having Fun (ML 5-1)

B's

# 5 Enchanted Jasmine (ML 4-1)
# 11 Benchmark Rose (ML 8-1)
# 12 Shayna Punims (ML 12-1)

C's

# 1 Filka (ML 10-1)
# 4 Queen Scheherazade (ML 3-1)
# 7 Bonnie's Ransom (ML 8-1)


Scratch # 9 Holladay Visit (ML 30-1)

Ragazza Di Vola took the Show against non-claiming maidens over this turf course last time out.  Having Fun missed graduation by just a nose at this class level last time out, with Ragazza Di Vola taking the Show behind her.

Enchanted Jasmine took the Place at this class level last time out.  Benchmark Rose drops in for a tag for the first time in her career.  Shayna Punims closed well last time out at this class level.  Filka has proven competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.

Queen Scheherazade drops down on the class ladder after not showing much in any of her prior starts.  Bonnie's Ransom took the Place at this class level two starts back.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 1,2 with 4,7 with 2,8 $8.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 1,2,5,8,9 with 4,7 with 2,5,8,11,12 $50.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,7,8 with 1,2 with 4,7 with 2,8 $12.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6,10 with 4,7 with 2,8 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,2 with 1 with 2,8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,2 with 4,7 with 1,4,7 $6.00

Total: $82.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 7:22 EDT / 4:22 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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