RACE 4 - Clm $20k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Incline Village (Morning Line 6-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Velocitation (ML 12-1)
# 3 Next Speaker (ML 6-1)
Incline Village wired the field at this class level two starts back, and looks to be speed on the rail today. Velocitation could be the one running best late, though there may not be enough pace for him to chase. Next Speaker could move forward with the drop in class.
RACE 5 - OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Bronze Star (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 2 Eagle Screams (ML 3-1)
# 3 Squidward (ML 4-1)
C's
# 6 Unusually Green (ML 5-1)
Bronze Star went too fast too soon last time out; I expect him to be more controlled in the early going today. Perhaps having Jockey Juan Hernandez on his back again will help Bronze Star be more settled early.
Eagle Screams took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the lawn. Squidward looks to be in top form, and could move forward with the surface switch. Unusually Green could be the one running best late.
RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 A Lucky Carry (ML 9-5)
B's
# 1 Rebarules Again (ML 3-1)
# 5 Callmejessiejames (ML 8-1)
# 7 She's My First (ML 6-1)
# 8 Golden Squeeze (ML 10-1)
C's
None
A Lucky Carry has finished out of the Trifecta just once in his six career tries at this class level. Rebarules Again has been much improved since shipping in from downstate, and the rail draw may help Rebarules Again get past A Lucky Carry today.
Callmejessiejames and Golden Squeeze are two that could improve with the return to one turn racing, as well as the move back to the main track. She's My First may move up with the cutback in real estate.
RACE 7 Alw 8000s - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Cackle the Cuda (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 My Friend George (ML 4-1)
# 3 Thirty Pepperonis (ML 9-2)
# 7 Dixie Pistol (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 8 Wings of the Wind (ML 8-1)
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances in California, this contest has no lifetime win restrictions for entry. So any runner that has started for a claiming price of $8k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Cackle the Cuda drops in class after missing victory by a length on this turf course last time out. My Friend George seems to settle for too many minor awards, but he does fit well under these conditions. Thirty Pepperonis could improve with the move to the lawn. Dixie Pistol could improve with the stretchout in distance.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Tizcool (ML 6-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Beau Rocks (ML 8-1)
# 5 Top Quality (ML 3-1)
# 6 C C the Bartender (ML 10-1)
# 7 The Incident (ML 5-1)
Tizcool ships in from downstate for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer after finishing in the Trifecta against non-Claiming Maidens in each of her last two starts. Beau Rocks took the Place at this class level in her debut two starts back. Top Quality ships in from downstate, and may prefer her new surroundings.
C C the Bartender could improve with the blinkers on; while I don't know if she was wearing them at the time, her most recent workout was an improvement over the others. The Incident is the "other" Hollendorfer, and could improve with the stretchout in distance.
RACE 9 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 8 Tavasco Road (ML 9-2)
# 9 Nightime Olympics (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Southern Loyalty (ML 8-1)
# 2 Tentwelvefourteen (ML 8-1)
# 3 Paynes Prairie (ML 10-1)
# 4 Life Is a Trip (ML 20-1)
# 5 Pamper Me Now (ML 30-1)
# 7 Mr. Shook (ML 4-1)
# 10 Silken Chief (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 6 Mr Kerry Hara (ML 6-1)
Tavasco Road has yet to finish out of the Exacta in four career starts. Nightime Olympics was victorious at this class level two starts back, albeit for a different barn.
Southern Loyalty could be speed on the rail; but perhaps not, as there seems to be quite a bit of pace in this one. Tentwelvefourteen has proven to be competitive at this class level.
Paynes Prairie could improve with the freshening. Silken Chief graduated by daylight last time out, and could get a nice stalking trip with the outside post. The other "B's" are the rest of the field; because if I make it this far with three big ticket singles, I want to make sure that I collect.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 1 with 4 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 8,9 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1 with 2,3,4 with 1,2,5,7,8 with 5 with 4 with ALL $27.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 2,3 with 4 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 8,9 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1 with 6 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 8,9 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 1 with 4 with 2 with 1,3,7 with 4 with 8,9 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 1 with 4 with 2 with 5 with 2,5,6,7 with 8,9 $1.60
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:45 EDT / 2:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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