Sunday, June 18, 2017

6/18/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

"I've known how to make a mint julep since I was 12, so I can't say I never learned anything practical from my father." - John Lyon

Happy Father's Day, one and all; and here's hoping that all the Dads out there get today the thing which they most want: a nap.  Sunday also happens to be closing day for the current Golden Gate meet before this show goes on the road to the various county fairs.  So that means that everything must go; including whatever carryover balance is sitting in the Pick Six Jackpot pool.  So let's get to it and get ready to dive in, as I take another run at The Golden Pick Six at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 5 - Clm $5k N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 The Natural (Morning Line 2-1)

B’s

# 8 Life Is a Trip (ML 5-2)

C's

# 2 Outlook (ML 10-1)
# 4 Ihearditallbefore (ML 7-2)
# 7 On Fire (ML 8-1)

The Natural was victorious at this class level last time out.  Life Is a Trip takes a few steps down the class ladder after showing good early speed against more expensive stock.

Outlook has proven popular at the claim box this year with several outfits, a sign that multiple connections are expecting this runner to improve.  Ihearditallbefore goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.  On Fire has proven competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.

RACE 6 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Missionelle (ML 8-5)

B’s

# 3 She Sang (ML 6-1)
# 5 No Spin Zone (ML 2-1)

C's

# 1 Quick Song (ML 4-1)
# 4 Liana Skye (ML 8-1)
# 7 Propeppy (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 2 Sparkle Shine (ML 20-1)

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less.  For the record, # 5 No Spin Zone and # 7 Propeppy are the only two runners in this field to have made just one trip to the Winner's Circle in their career.

Missionelle won by daylight under these conditions over this main track last time out.  She Sang was victorious under these conditions the last time that she competed over this main track, which was two starts back.  No Spin Zone graduated with ease last time out, and has shown much improvement since shipping in from downstate.

Quick Song took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the turf.  Liana Skye took the Place at this class level two starts back, albeit for different connections.  Propeppy is on my tickets because everyone else in this field is.

RACE 7 - MSW - Five Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Brave Helios (ML 2-1)
# 7 Ultimateenticement (ML 4-1)

B's

# 9 Generally Lucky (ML 6-1)
# 10 Respect the Hustle (ML 5-1)

C's

# 4 Wasco (ML 15-1)
# 8 Unpossible (ML 20-1)

Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Cash Limit (No Line) and # 12 Lucky Antares (ML 10-1)

Brave Helios took the Place at this class level in his debut last time out, with Respect the Hustle taking the Show behind him.  Ultimateenticement is sired by Drosselmeyer, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.  Ultimateenticement also had a sharp bullet work over this main track last Sunday.

Generally Lucky took the Place at this class level in his debut two starts back.  Wasco is making his second career start for Trainer Steve Sherman, who tends to do well with such.  Unpossible is a first time starter for Trainer Felix Rondan, who has been having a fine meet.

RACE 8 - Alw 4000s - Five Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Ted Oliver (ML 9-2)

B’s

None

C's

# 4 Synnin (ML 4-1)
# 9 Mon Mousse (ML 7-2)

Scratch # 2 Spot N the Line (ML 20-1)

Note for future reference that, unlike the Starter Allowance contest above, this event has no lifetime win restrictions for entry.  So any runner that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.

Ted Oliver has been victorious is each of his last two contests, both over this turf course under these conditions.  Synnin has won at this class level in two of his last three starts; but Synnin's one failure in those three attempts was also the one turf sprint in the trio.  Mon Mousse took the Place at this class level the last time that he sprinted on the grass; but that race was last Summer, and its fair to question if Mon Mousse can display that form today.

RACE 9 - Clm $6.25k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 7 Kronwall (ML 2-1)

B's

# 6 Califo Cat (ML 5-2)
# 8 Sheila's Footsteps (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 5 The Gotham Year (ML 30-1) and # 9 Mandala (ML 20-1)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since April 15, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have come since the middle of April (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals).  For the record, # 1 Glopress (ML 15-1), # 3 Admiral Boom (ML 8-1), and # 8 Sheila's Footsteps (6-1) are the three runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.

Kronwall took the Show against more expensive stock last time out, and appears to be the quickest in this field.  Califo Cat and Sheila's Footsteps are both taking a big step down on the class ladder.

RACE 10 - Md $20k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 13 Sekondi (ML 2-1)
# 14 Kitten's Royal (ML 3-1)

B's

# 2 Sooner Boomer (ML 8-1)

C's

# 4 White Falcon (ML 12-1)
# 8 Singaprayer (ML 12-1)
# 10 Get Like Me (ML 4-1)


Scratch # 7 Schwarzenegger (NL), # 9 Larrikin (NL), and # 12 Gallant Heat (NL).  Bring in # 13 Sekondi and # 14 Kitten's Royal off the Also Eligible list.

Sekondi took the Show at this class level over the Santa Anita main track last time out.  Sekondi's breeding suggests that he should do well with the surface switch.  Kitten's Royal took the Show against classier stock over the Santa Anita main track two starts back.  Sooner Boomer took the Place at this class level last time out, and should be close up during the early running.

White Falcon drops in class while trying grass for the first time; perhaps those changes will lead to an improved performance.  Singaprayer took the Show at this class level last time out.  Get Like Me also took the Show in a separate contest at this class level last time out.

OK, that's the analysis.  It's a mandatory payout day, so there are no concerns regarding needing the sole winning ticket in order to get the big prize.  So with that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 3 with 6 with 6,7 with 5 with 7 with 13,14 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 3,8 with 3,5,6 with 6,7,9,10 with 5 with 6,7,8 with 2,13,14 $43.20

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 2,4,7 with 6 with 6,7 with 5 with 7 with 13,14 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 3 with 1,4,7 with 6,7 with 5 with 7 with 13,14 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 3 with 6 with 4,8 with 5 with 7 with 13,14 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3 with 6 with 6,7 with 4,9 with 7 with 13,14 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 3 with 6 with 6,7 with 5 with 7 with 4,8,10 $1.20

Total: $55.60

Post Time for Race 5 is 6:16 EDT / 3:16 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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