Sunday, June 25, 2017

6/25/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview

And so we've come to the final Sunday in June.  In just a few more days 2017 will be half over.  Hopefully it's been a fun year so far for you; and no matter how good or bad it may have been up 'til this point, Good Lord willing hopefully it'll keep improving and get much better as the months go by.  Anyway, enough with looking at the calendar; let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.

RACE 6 - Clm $16k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Private Joke (Morning Line 4-1)
# 6 Stellar Sea (ML 5-2)


B’s

# 3 Velocitation (ML 7-2)

C's

# 5 Fair Advantage (ML 3-1)

Private Joke has finished in the Exacta in two of his three career starts over this track, and appears to be in top form.  Stellar Sea took the Show at this class level two starts back.

Velocitation was victorious in his only prior race over this track, and fits well at this class level.  Fair Advantage seems to settle for too many minor awards, but could move up with the cutback in distance.

RACE 7 - Md $32k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 The Perfect Square (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Marchtothemusic (ML 8-5)
# 2 El Alteno (ML 10-1)
# 3 Mysterious Journey (ML 8-1)
# 4 Ancestry (ML 6-1)
# 6 Lil' Chieftain (ML 7-2)

C's

None

Three of the runners in this contest (Mysterious Journey, The Perfect Square, and Lil' Chieftain) are dropping in for a tag from the non-claiming maiden ranks.  El Alteno and Ancestry are first time starters.  The Morning Line Favorite, Marchtothemusic, has failed in five of his last six races as the Post Time Favorite.  Marchtothemusic and Lil' Chieftain are two that seem to settle for too many minor awards.

Quite frankly, this contest looks like a chaos race, as the two most talented runners look to be horrible Win candidates.  I made The Perfect Square my "A" Selection as he appears to be the quickest in the field; but for the big ticket, I'll be punching the "ALL" button.

RACE 8 - ALW N$Y - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A's

# 5 Seattle Serenade (ML 5-2)

B's

None

C's

# 7 Eagle Screams (ML 4-1)
# 8 Noble Nick (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 2 Anythingscookin (ML 7-2)

This event is open to any runners three years old and upward which have not won $60k in 2017, excluding Maiden, Claiming, and Starter races.

Seattle Serenade, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, was a two-time winner downstate on Fast dirt tracks, and was victorious last time out in his first try around two turns.  Eagle Screams, who was fourth in that contest behind Seattle Serenade, could be quicker out of the gate today; while Noble Nick, a winner in his only prior try over this track, could move up with the surface switch.

RACE 9 - (F) Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Run Scout Run (ML 3-1)
# 7 My Heart Is Yours (ML 2-1)

B's

# 2 Look At That (ML 4-1)
# 4 Mexicat (ML 12-1)

C's

# 8 Corazon Del Fuego (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 1 Austria (ML 6-1)

Run Scout Run and My Heart Is Yours are two that ran well on the dirt tracks downstate, and could move up with the class drop.  Look At That has finished in the Trifecta in each of her last three starts at this class level.

Mexicat could improve with the surface switch.  Corazon Del Fuego is a first time starter trained by Steve Sherman; and while Sherman's chargers tend to do better at second asking than first, Corazon Del Fuego seems to be well meant here.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1,6 with 5 with 5 with 5,7 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,3,6 with ALL with 5 with 2,4,5,7 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 5 with 5 with 5 with 5,7 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 5 with 7,8 with 5,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 5 with 5 with 8 $1.00

Total: $46.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:22 EDT / 4:22 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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