It's Big 'Cap Day at Santa Anita, with a card featuring four Graded Stakes, including the $600k Santa Anita Handicap itself. I'll be taking a look at that event below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 8 - (F) The China Doll $75k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Ms Bad Behavior (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 9 Ippodamia's Girl (ML 3-1)
C's
# 5 Slick Trick (ML 8-1)
# 11 Casino Red (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 12 Proud Heroine (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 4 Californiagoldrush (ML 6-1)
Ms Bad Behavior took the Place in the Sweet Life last time out, and should be quick enough to take advantage of the rail draw. Ippodamia's Girl, winner of the Blue Norther last time, is undefeated since having Jockey Rafael Bejarano get on her back.
Slick Trick and Proud Heroine are both recent graduates who look to be on the improve. Casino Red (Ire), three back of Californiagoldrush at the wire last time out, could move up going second off the layoff.
RACE 9 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 12 Liberty Jack (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Celebrate Life (ML 6-1)
# 4 Rocky's Show (ML 8-1)
# 5 Dad's a Gambler (ML 4-1)
# 9 Marvelous Max (ML 15-1)
C's
# 1 Gotta Get Lucky (ML 15-1)
# 6 Liberation (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 11 Bitte (ML 4-1)
Liberty Jack drops back to a more realistic class level for his abilities. Celebrate Life, Rocky's Show, and Dad's a Gambler all finished in the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Marvelous Max probably needed that last race after having been on the shelf for over a year. If Marvelous Max can return to the form that he showed prior to getting injured, then he could be the one getting his picture taken when this contest is completed.
Gotta Get Lucky could improve with the cutback in distance. Liberation could improve with a softer footing should the rains come as forecast.
RACE 10 - The Santa Anita Handicap (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Fear the Cowboy (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Accelerate (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Top of the Game (ML 10-1)
# 2 Prime Attraction (ML 8-1)
# 3 Curlin Road (ML 12-1)
# 4 Giant Expectations (ML 5-1)
# 5 Hoppertunity (ML 7-2)
# 8 Mubtaahij (Ire) (ML 4-1)
Fear the Cowboy and Accelerate look to be the clear two best here; but it's fair to wonder about their ability to make the distance. Top of the Game is on the ticket because everyone else is; because should both the top two contenders fail, then this becomes a wide open contest.
Prime Attraction could move up with a better trip. Curlin Road could improve off the freshening. Giant Expectations could be quickest in this field.
Hoppertunity can be expected to contend; but there doesn't appear to be enough pace for Hoppertunity to chase here. Mubtaahij (Ire) may run to his full ability Saturday; if he does, he could win. But running to his full ability is not something Mubtaahij can be reasonably expected to do.
RACE 11 - (F) MSW - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 12 Curlin's Journey (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 Hope Wins (ML 4-1)
# 3 Pacific Strike (ML 7-2)
# 5 Rancor (ML 5-1)
# 6 Heliocentricity (ML 20-1)
C's
None
Curlin's Journey could improve going third off the layoff. Hope Wins took the Show at this class level last time out behind a next out winner. Pacific Strike has taken the Show in each of her last two starts at this class level.
Rancor looks quickest here, and could be the controlling speed. Heliocentricity adds the blinkers for her second career start; perhaps that will make the difference.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 12 with 6 with 12 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,9 with 3,4,5,9,12 with 6,7 with 1,3,5,6,12 $50.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,11,12 with 12 with 6 with 12 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 1,6 with 6 with 12 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 12 with 1,2,3,4,5,8 with 12 $3.00
Total: $56.50
Post Time for Race is 6:54 EST / 3:54 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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