It's San Francisco Mile Day up at Golden Gate Fields, as the Grade 3 event highlights the card as well as declaring that the turf course as open for business. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 6 - (F) Alw 50000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Loves the Crowd (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 7 Fast Bid (Ire) (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Starring Role (ML 5-1)
# 4 Having Fun (ML 15-1)
# 6 Namorita (ML 12-1)
# 8 Queen of Troy (ML 3-1)
Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have not won two races in their career; excepting that entrants are given a bye for having one (and just one) victory for $20k or less not counted toward their lifetime total. For the record, # 2 Loves the Crowd is the only runner in this field with more than one lifetime Win.
As mentioned above, Loves the Crowd is the only entrant in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle more than once. Loves the Crowd is also getting substantial class relief from her more recent starts. The only concern with Loves the Crowd is that those more recent starts are from last Spring.
Queen of Troy and Fast Bid (Ire) filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta at this class level last time out, albeit over the main track. I expect Fast Bid to benefit more from the surface switch.
Starring Role and Having Fun have won over this turf course in the past. Namorita looks better suited to the main track; but Namorita fits well with the contenders here.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 5 Karma King (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Thorny Weather (ML 6-1)
# 3 Hekili Storm (ML 5-1)
# 6 Regal Born (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Karma King is undefeated since joining the barn of Trainer John Martin, and looks well meant here. Thorny Weather, Hekili Storm, and Regal Born were all close enough at the wire at this class level last time out to warrant consideration here.
RACE 8 - The San Francisco Mile (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Editore (Brz) (ML 6-1)
B's
# 3 Syntax (Ire) (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Frank Conversation (ML 3-1)
# 7 Flamboyant (Fr) (ML 6-1)
# 10 Full of Luck (Chi) (ML 5-1)
# 11 Many Roses (ML 15-1)
Editore (Brz), Graded Stakes placed in both of his 2018 contests, looks to be in top form. Syntax (Ire), trained by Phil D"Amato, should improve off his effort in the Kilroe Mile last time out.
Frank Conversation fits well here on class; but Frank Conversation may need more distance to show his best; and he may also need a race off the layoff. Flamboyant (Fr) is another that may be better served with a longer distance.
Full of Luck (Chi) is a true dark horse; but Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer has done well with this type in the past. Many Roses could upset if he can save something for the drive.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $12.5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Filina (ML 8-1)
B's
# 2 Chazelle (ML 3-1)
# 3 Marina Del Mar (ML 8-1)
# 4 That's My Gal (ML 2-1)
# 5 Brandolina (ML 7-2)
C's
# 7 Cattering (ML 12-1)
Filina took the Place at this class level last time out. Chazelle moves up in class after taking the Place against less expensive company last time out; Trainer Jedd Josephson has won in the past with this move.
That's My Gal and Marina Del Mar were part of the Superfecta at this class level last time out. Brandolina, the Post Time Favorite in that contest, freaked (in the bad way) and finished fifth; perhaps Brandolina will be calmer today. Cattering is a first time starter who may be over-matched here; but Cattering's breeding suggests that she'll be ready to run today.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2 with 5 with 1 with 1 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 1,3,5,6 with 1,3 with 1,2,3,4,5 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4,6,8 with 5 with 1 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 5 with 2,7,10,11 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 5 with 1 with 7 $0.50
Total: $45.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:56 EDT / 2:56 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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