Sunday, March 4, 2018

3/4/18 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

Closing out the weekend where I began, with the Sunday card at Golden Gate.  And since I have nothing to add by way of introduction let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - Clm $8k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Preacher's Bluff (Morning Line 15-1)

B's

# 4 Macho Marini (ML 8-1)
# 6 He'saruler (ML 4-1)

C's

# 2 Storm Fashion (ML 9-2)
# 7 El Koreano (ML 3-1)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since December 31, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as an entrant has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If an entrant has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come in 2018 (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $6.25k or less don't count when computing the Win totals).  For the record, all of these runners have visited the Winner's Circle at least four times in their career.

Preacher's Bluff took the Show at this class level behind a next out winner last time out.  Macho Marini crossed under the wire less than a length behind Preacher's Bluff last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.

He'saruler, going first time out for Trainer John Martin, will be making his debut at Golden Gate Sunday; though He'saruler has won multiple times over the Polytrack at Arlington Park.  Storm Fashion and El Koreano each notched wire-to-wire victories against lesser company last time out.

RACE 7 - Clm $6.25k B - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Gotham Sky (ML 4-1)

B's

# 7 Top Drawer (ML 3-1)
# 8 Tribal Again (ML 5-2)

C's

None

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since December 31, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as an entrant has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If an entrant has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come in 2018 (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals).  For the record, # 2 Looks Good N a Tux (ML 20-1) and # 4 Boleo (ML 20-1) are the only runners in this field to have gotten their picture taken fewer than four times.

Gotham Sky has three Wins in four tries since joining the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong.  Top Drawer won by daylight last time out; Trainer Felix Rondan tends to do well when placing his last out winners.  Tribal Again fits well here on class, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.

RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 2 Vronilla Parfait (ML 2-1)

B's

None

C's

# 4 Peaked (ML 8-1)
# 5 Bezzy (ML 10-1)
# 7 Savannah Slew (GB) (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 8 Kelly (ML 7-2)

Vronilla Parfait took the Place at this class level last time out.  Peaked could be the one running best late.  Bezzy graduated last time out in her first try with blinkers off; perhaps that was the change that she needed.  Savannah Slew (GB) makes her North American debut here, and appears to be getting some class relief over the competition that she had been facing overseas.

RACE 9 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 9 J T's A. T. M. (ML 4-1)

B's

# 2 Snow Feather (ML 8-1)
# 3 Will Get Lucky (ML 20-1)
# 4 Legitimate Cause (ML 15-1)
# 5 Imalocomotive (ML 6-1)
# 6 Halfmoon Bearcat (ML 12-1)
# 7 Powerful Angrified (ML 15-1)
# 8 Fightinirishtabit (ML 3-1)
# 10 Autumn Day (ML 10-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 1 Lord Rayleigh (ML 7-2)

J T's A. T. M. has finished in the Trifecta in each of his three career starts, all at this class level.  But J T's A. T. M. has also backed up in the stretch in each of his three career starts, which isn't an encouraging sign.  Anyway, J T's A. T. M. looks best here, and after everything is said and done I may find myself regretting not making him a single instead of punching the "ALL" button.  But unfortunately they won't let me wager after everything is said and done; so this is the way I'm going to go.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 6 with 2 with 9 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,4,6 with 6,7,8 with 2 with ALL $40.50

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 6 with 2 with 9 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 6 with 4,5,7 with 9 $1.50

Total: $44.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:25 EST / 3:25 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: