Sunday, March 25, 2018

3/25/18 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

Closing the weekend by shifting my action upstate, for no profound reason other than for the sake of change; or maybe just to give myself an extra forty-five minutes rest before first post.  So with that as introduction let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - Md $8k - Five Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Rock Slinger (Morning Line 8-5)

B's

# 4 Pepper Sings (ML 3-1)
# 7 Ur Not My President (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 2 Blackhawk Beauty (ML 8-1) and # 6 Sierra Dance (ML 10-1)

Rock Slinger took the Place in his debut last time out, crossing under the wire a little less than a length in front of Ur Not My President.  Blackhawk Beauty has taken the Show at this class level in each of his last two starts.  Pepper Sings took the Show at this class level two starts back.

RACE 7 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 6 Savannah Slew (GB) (ML 7-5)

B's

# 2 Reginella (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Shari (ML 15-1)
# 3 Sweet Rafaela (ML 5-1)
# 4 Vronilla Parfait (ML 2-1)
# 5 Table for Three (ML 6-1)


Savannah Slew (GB) took the Place at this class level last time out.  Reginella returns to the Golden Gate main track, where she has earned both of her lifetime wins.  The "C" Selections are everyone else, as in my opinion this field, while small, looks to be quite competitive; especially if Savannah Slew should bounce in her second North American start.

RACE 8 - Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 El Monarca (ML 7-2)

B's

# 4 Pepper Sharp (ML 2-1)
# 5 Musket Hunter (ML 8-1)

C's

# 2 Accelerato (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 3 Cash Pilot (ML 5-2)

El Monarca and Pepper Sharp filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta at this class level last time out.  As their reward for finishing in the money in that prior performance, both runners will be competing Sunday as first time geldings.

Cash Pilot failed to hit the board in each of his seven career starts downstate; perhaps the change of scenery will do him well.  Musket Hunter took the Place against more expensive two starts back.  Accelerato, who has finished in the money at this class level and higher, may finally decide that Sunday, in his thirty-ninth try, that he'll allow his picture to be taken after the race.

RACE 9 - Clm $4k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 9 Hill Croome (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 3 Got Tobe Awesome (ML 8-1)
# 4 Confirmed (ML 4-1)
# 6 Knust (ML 5-2)

C's

# 5 Gio's Gold (ML 9-2)

Scratch # 2 The Real McCann (ML 20-1)

Hill Croome has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts.  Conversely, Hill Croome has failed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last two starts; so there is that to consider.

Got Tobe Awesome could be the one running best late.  Confirmed, ambitiously placed last time out, drops back to a more suitable class level.  Knust is talented enough to win here; but the concern is that Knust seems to settle for too many minor awards.  Gio's Gold graduated last time out by daylight in his first try over a synthetic surface.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 6 with 6 with 9 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,4,7 with 2,6 with 4,5,6 with 3,4,6,9 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1 with 1,3,4,5 with 6 with 9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 6 with 2 with 9 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 6 with 6 with 5 $0.50

Total: $40.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EDT / 2:58 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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