Happy Birthday USA! Here's hoping that all Americans, as well as all freedom-loving people everywhere throughout the world, spend the day enjoying life and liberty while pursuing happiness. For me, the pursuit of happiness leads me to Wednesday's races at the Alameda County Fairgrounds, where the Oak Tree Sprint is the featured event on the card. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 6 - Clm $3.2k N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Night's Watch (Morning Line 8-1)
# 4 Burger and Fries (Fr) (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Capes Hot Rocket (ML 10-1)
# 7 Sojurn (ML 9-2)
C's
# 3 Forever the Chief (ML 12-1)
# 5 At Ease (ML 4-1)
# 6 Special Season (GB) (ML 2-1)
Night's Watch has finished in the Trifecta six of the twelve times that he has raced over a Fast dirt track, and is the only entrant in the field with a victory while competing over real dirt. Burger and Fries (Fr) was within a length of the winner at the wire last time out over this main track.
Capes Hot Rocket and Sojurn appear on paper to be over matched; but these two are a combined three-for-eleven lifetime, demonstrating an ability to find the Winner's Circle in relatively few tries; unlike many others here that seem to go all out to avoid getting their picture taken. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - Clm $40k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Sir Vronski (ML 8-5)
# 2 Awhitesportscoat (ML 10-1)
B’s
# 4 Awesome Anywhere (ML 5-1)
# 5 Karma King (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Pure Comedy (ML 4-1)
Sir Vronski, winner of half of his eight career starts over a Fast Dirt track, misses by just a length of entering this contest with an eight race winning streak, going back to last Fall. Awhitesportscoat took the show in the $50k Albany last time out, and could move up with the change of surface.
Awesome Anywhere has finished in the Exacta all three times that he has competed on a Fast dirt track. Karma King, two lengths back of Sir Vronski at the wire last time out, goes first off the claim for Trainer Samuel Calvario, who tends to do well with such. Pure Comedy has been a notch below a couple of these of late; perhaps that will change with the surface switch.
RACE 8 - The Oak Tree Sprint $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 My Friend Emma (ML 8-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Annie's Candy (ML 3-1)
# 4 Tribal Storm (ML 7-2)
# 5 Run Away (ML 5-2)
My Friend Emma, winner of The Albany on the turf last time out, has run well in the past over this track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as it's a very small field.
RACE 9 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Pepperino (ML 4-1)
B's
# 2 Gold and Guns (ML 30-1)
# 3 Mon Camo (ML 12-1)
# 6 Acrimonious (ML 9-2)
# 8 Soul Obsession (ML 6-1)
# 10 Kona Breeze (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Scene Enuf (ML 10-1)
# 5 El Nino Fable (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 4 Burn thewhiteflag (ML 8-1) and # 7 Full Flask (ML 8-1)
Pepperino took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back. Acrimonious, Mon Camo, and Gold and Guns filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.
Full Flask drops in for a tag for the first time. Soul Obsession took the Place in his debut last time out. Kona Breeze looks best on paper, but may be camera shy. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 3 with 9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,7 with 1,2,4,5 with 3 with 2,3,6,8,9,10 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,5,6 with 1,2 with 3 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 3 with 3 with 9 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 1,2,4,5 with 9 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2 with 3 with 1,5 $4.00
Total: $68.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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