It's Sunday at the Alameda County Fairgrounds; and that's pretty much all I have today by way of introduction. So let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 6 Smiling Ann (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 The Spiral Jetter (ML 7-2)
# 2 Tizno's Dilemma (ML 8-1)
# 3 Hal's Buddy (ML 5-1)
# 4 Reginella (ML 9-2)
# 7 Madam Sophia (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 5 Ragazza Di Vola (ML 6-1)
Smiling Ann won by enough last time out to suggest that she can handle the rise is class. The Spiral Jetter fits well at this class level, and ran reasonably well last summer on the dirt at Del Mar. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as this field (typical of most first level Allowance races) contains more than a few runners who consistently hit the board at this class level while managing to avoid the Winner's Circle; suggesting that they have the talent to win, but often not the desire.
RACE 7 - (F) Md $8k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Fullbridled Jet (ML 9-2)
B's
# 1 Meet Ya in Ky (ML 15-1)
# 3 A Brides Song (ML 3-1)
# 4 Dayjur Bold (ML 15-1)
# 5 She's an Eagle (ML 5-2)
# 6 American Sheriff (ML 6-1)
# 7 Filina (ML 10-1)
# 8 She Perfect (ML 12-1)
# 9 She's Over the Top (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Fullbridled Jet could be the speed of the speed here. Also note in the running lines how Fullbridled Jet's early speed has allowed her to be in front closer and closer to the wire in each successive race. The "B" Selections are everyone else, as I go "ALL" on the big ticket for this leg.
RACE 8 - OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Touched by Autism (ML 5-1)
# 5 Kitten's Royal (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Saxon Lord (ML 4-1)
# 6 More Power to Him (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Crazy Prophet (ML 2-1)
# 4 Sunset Dragunn (ML 8-1)
Touched by Autism and Kitten's Royal, the only two last out winners in this field, both ran well enough to suggest that they can repeat. Note also that Kitten's Royal is a career two-for-two over this track.
Saxon Lord, one-for-two in his career over this track, appears to be in top form. More Power to Him has run well in the past over a Fast dirt track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - Clm $20k N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Desert Express (ML 9-2)
# 5 Moonlight Blue (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 6 Full Access (ML 6-1)
# 7 Native Chieftain (ML 3-1)
# 8 Manila Mischief (ML 5-1)
Desert Express has run well over Fast dirt tracks in the past, including a Win in his only prior try over this track. Moonlight Blue goes first off the claim for Trainer Billy Morey, who tends to do well with such.
Full Access ran well enough in victory last time out to suggest that he can handle the class rise. Manila Mischief and Native Chieftain filled out the Exacta last time out while crossing under the wire just a nose apart.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 2 with 3,5 with 4,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6 with ALL with 2,3,5,6 with 4,5 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4,7 with 2 with 3,5 with 4,5 $10.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2 with 1,4 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2 with 3,5 with 6,7,8 $3.00
Total: $55.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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