Sunday is closing day for the Fall Meet at Del Mar, with the Grade 1 Matriarch serving as the featured race. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as well as a pair of contests for juvenile non-Winners of One, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 6 - (F) [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Kate's Princess (Morning Line 5-1)
B's
# 2 Don'tbeboisterous (ML 7-2)
# 5 Lucky Lately (ML 6-1)
# 7 Adorably Sweet (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Twirling Diamond (ML 6-1)
# 3 Sierra Sunrise (ML 8-1)
# 6 She's a Brewer (ML 20-1)
# 8 Comegowithme (ML 8-1)
# 9 Dr Wysong (ML 12-1)
# 10 Daddys Real Diva (ML 20-1)
Kate's Princess ran well in her debut once she realized there was a race going on and she was in it. Don'tbeboisterous could improve with the return to one turn racing on the dirt.
Lucky Lately and Adorably Sweet are a pair of first time starters that have been working well for this event. Trainer Phil D'Amato has a pair of first time starters (She's a Brewer and Dr Wysong) that I may later regret not using on the big ticket. But I just didn't like their workouts enough to use those two on the main ticket, so on they go with the rest of the field into the backup "C" Selection file.
RACE 7 - (F) The Matriarch (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 13 Uni (GB) (ML 9-2)
B's
# 9 Vasilika (ML 7-2)
# 12 Dona Bruja (Arg) (ML 8-1)
# 14 Rymska (Fr) (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Excellent Sunset (Ire) (ML 30-1)
# 2 Valadorna (ML 15-1)
# 3 Fahan Mura (ML 12-1)
# 4 Mopotism (ML 20-1)
# 5 Quidura (GB) (ML 8-1)
# 7 Daddy Is a Legend (ML 20-1)
# 8 Insta Irma (ML 12-1)
# 10 Mission Impassible (Ire) (ML 5-1)
# 11 Luminoso (ML 30-1)
Scratch # 6 Ms Bad Behavior (ML 20-1)
This contest drew quite well in terms of quality as well as quantity, as you will note that I have relegated some very fine runners to backup "C" Selection status. But ultimately I decided to limit the big ticket selections to those few that I think will be running best late, as this field has no shortage of early speed. Were I to go deeper on the big ticket, I would move Quidora (GB) and/or Mission Impassible (Ire) up to "B" status; but I think I've got this one right.
RACE 8 - OC 62k/N2X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Lord Simba (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Red Lightning (ML 7-2)
# 5 Greyvitos (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Apalachee Bay (ML 10-1)
# 3 Captain Scotty (ML 2-1)
# 4 Calexman (ML 8-1)
# 6 Street Vision (ML 20-1)
Lord Simba returns from a fifteen month layoff for Trainer Bob Baffert; and if Lord Simba is back to the form the he showed last year, then Lord Simba could win for fun here. However, if Lord Simba isn't quite in top form, then I see this contest as either Red Lightning early or Greyvitos late. Just in case, all others are being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 11 Mobo (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Loomis (ML 8-1)
# 4 Speakerofthehouse (ML 5-1)
# 12 Jefe (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 Autumn Isabella (ML 30-1)
# 5 Felix Leiter (ML 8-1)
# 6 Leader of Men (ML 8-1)
# 9 Noble Nebraskan (ML 6-1)
# 10 Mystical Moon (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 3 Emotional Wreck (ML 30-1), # 7 Caecilius (ML 12-1); # 8 Silent Musketier (ML 30-1)
Mobou tries the turf as well as two turn racing for the first time Sunday; Mobou's breeding suggests that he'll do just fine with both. Loomis projects to be running well late if he doesn't get trapped on the inside. Speakerofthehouse closed well to take the Place at this class level last time out.
Jefe is trying grass for the first time; if Jefe can bring his main track form to the turf then he will certainly contend here. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 13 with 7 with 11 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,4,5,7 with 9,12,13,14 with 2,5,7 with 1,4,11,12 $96.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,6,8,9,10 with 13 with 7 with 11 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,2,3,4,5,7,8,10,11 with 7 with 11 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 13 with 1,3,4,6 with 11 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 13 with 7 with 2,5,6,9,10 $2.50
Total: $109.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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