Saturday, December 8, 2018

12/8/18 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

The Southern California thoroughbred racing circuit moves on to Los Alamitos this week, where the minimum wager for Pick Fours remains a dollar; double that which my budget can afford.  Therefore, my action moves upstate to Golden Gate, where, for the second week in a row, I find myself playing a track that is having a closing weekend for its Fall Meet.  In addition, the final four races on the Golden Gate program have been carded for distaff runners; that should help keep things interesting.  Finally, some late information: all grass races have been moved to the main track.  So with all that let's just get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 9 - (F) Miss America $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic (Division 2) (Originally Scheduled for Turf)

A’s

# 8 Bella Luma (Morning Line 4-1)

B's

# 1 Bernina Star (ML 6-1)
# 2 Impasse (ML 10-1)
# 3 Pantsonfire (Ire) (ML 2-1)
# 4 Pyscho Sister (ML 3-1)
# 5 Fizzy Friday (GB) (ML 8-1)

C's

# 6 Blazinbeauty (ML 20-1)
# 7 Music Babe (ML 20-1)
# 9 Tizno's Dilemma (ML 20-1)

Bella Luma closed well in the Grade 3 Berkley over this main track last time out, and there should be enough pace for her to chase Saturday; with Psycho Sister probably being the speed of the speed.  The other big ticket selections are out of town shippers who all look well meant here; while the backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 10 - (F) [S] The Bear Fan $75k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Isa Firecracker (ML 7-2)

B's

# 2 Spring Heat (ML 5-1)
# 9 Bako Sweets (ML 10-1)
# 10 Impecunious (ML 12-1)

C's

# 1 Meet Miss Kitty (ML 20-1)
# 4 Vronilla Parfait (ML 12-1)
# 5 The Spiral Jetter (ML 10-1)
# 6 Bezzy (ML 15-1)
# 7 Helen's Tiger (ML 4-1)

Scratch # 8 Queen Bee to You (ML 9-2) and # 11 Claudia Mae (ML 8-1)

Many of the entrants here are often found competing in allowance races at this track, where they tend to take turns defeating each other.  So if you have a sizable budget, you may want to give strong consideration to just going "ALL" in this leg.  In my opinion, Isa Firecracker looks best here, especially since she won't be running on a Fast dirt track.  But if Isa Firecracker turns out to be a dud, then this becomes a pretty wide open affair, where you could catch a nice price.

RACE 11 - (F) Alw 50000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic (Originally Scheduled for Turf)

A’s

# 6 Wish You Were Mine (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 4 Our Slick Chick (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Sophia Del Sol (ML 10-1)
# 2 Oursensationalgirl (ML 2-1)
# 3 Cattering (ML 6-1)
# 5 Senorita Cometa (ML 20-1)
# 7 Another Redhead (ML 20-1)
# 8 Red Glitter (ML 20-1)
# 9 Wicked Wahine (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 1 Spirit Mission (ML 15-1)

Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have not won two races in their career; excepting that entrants are given a bye for having one (and just one) victory for $20k or less not counted toward their lifetime total.  For the record, Sophia Del Sol, Senorita Cometa, Wish You Were Mine, and Wicked Wahine are the four runners in this field with only one lifetime Win.

Wish You Were Mine and Our Slick Chick are both trained by Jerry Hollendorfer; look for Our Slick Chick early and Wish You Were Mine late.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 12 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 10 Plum Wild (ML 5-2)

B's

# 9 May Song (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Callmejessiejames (ML 8-1)
# 2 Alpine Strawberry (ML 20-1)
# 3 Gleefully (ML 9-2)
# 4 Secretly Paranoide (ML 10-1)
# 5 Majestic Bella (ML 8-1)
# 6 Listen to Blue (ML 20-1)
# 7 Scott's Best Beth (ML 10-1)
# 8 Gothic Girl (ML 8-1)

Plum Wild has finished in the Trifecta in each of her two career starts at this class level.  May Song showed good early speed in her debut last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 8 with 3 with 6 with 10 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4,5,8 with 2,3,9,10 with 4,6 with 9,10 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 6,7,9 with 3 with 6 with 10 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 8 with 1,4,5,6,7 with 6 with 10 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 8 with 3 with 1,2,3,5,7,8,9 with 10 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 8 with 3 with 6 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 $4.00

Total: $60.50

Post Time for Race 9 is 6:45 EST / 3:45 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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