Getting back to the business at hand, Saturday's featured race is the Grade 1 American Oaks, giving three year old fillies one last shot at each other before they all turn four on Tuesday. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 7 - Md $30k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 11 Violent Behavior (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 4 Shake N Fries (ML 8-1)
# 6 Do Something Easy (ML 6-1)
# 9 Silent Alarm (ML 5-1)
#10 Redrock Trail (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Tanker (ML 12-1)
# 5 Bachchan (ML 10-1)
# 7 Anvil Rock (ML 20-1)
# 8 Samurai Jack (ML 12-1)
# 12 Gleyber (ML 6-1)
# 13 Bull Fighter (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 1 Thin Line (No Line) and # 2 Royal Aspiration (ML 15-1)
Violent Behavior and Silent Alarm both disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in separate contests last time out. Shake N Fries and Redrock Trail are two that could rebound to efforts two starts back, as they are both going third off the layoff. Do Something Easy is a second time starter for Trainer Billy Morey, who tends to do well with such. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - (F) The American Oaks (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Turf
A's
# 9 Californiagoldrush (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Paved (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Colonia (Fr) (ML 6-1)
# 3 K P Pergoliscious (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 4 Amandine (GB) (ML 4-1)
# 5 Princess Warrior (ML 6-1)
# 7 Retro (ML 30-1)
# 8 Competitionofideas (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 1 Kodiak West (Ire) (NL)
No real surprise here as I like the top two contenders. I was very tempted to cut Paved from the big ticket; but ultimately I decided not to make Californiagoldrush a big ticket single because she's never traveled this distance before, and also because Californiagoldrush may need a race off the layoff. All others in the field are being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 9 - Alw 50000s N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Kid Cantina (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 2 Mayan Warrior (ML 5-1)
# 8 Oracle of Omaha (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Damiano (ML 5-1)
# 4 Runningwithscissors (ML 8-1)
# 5 Mad Mike (ML 10-1)
# 7 Macwinnon (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 6 I Belong to Becky (ML 6-1)
Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have not won two races in their career; no exceptions. None of these runners have visited the winner's circle more than once in their respective lifetime.
Kid Cantina and Mayan Warrior should both benefit from their respective class drops. Oracle of Omaha won impressively in his first non-turf start. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 10 - (F) Md $50k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 10 Strengthinnumbers (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Storming Lady (ML 3-1)
# 5 Cat's Desire (ML 20-1)
# 11 Madaket Sunset (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Fuega (ML 20-1)
# 2 Baladera (ML 12-1)
# 4 Beyond Pleasure (ML 10-1)
# 6 Etching (ML 10-1)
# 7 Breezy Bee (ML 6-1)
# 8 Grey Tsunami (ML 50-1)
# 9 Weather Market (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 12 Coldwater (ML 15-1)
Strengthinnumbers should improve with the class drop coupled with the return to the Santa Anita Hill. Storming Lady has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last three starts; but perhaps the return to Arcadia will finally get Storming Lady to the winner's circle.
Cat's Desire drops in for a tag after running evenly in her debut last time out. Madaket Sunset closed well in her only prior start charging down the hill. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 11 with 9 with 3 with 10 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,6,9,10,11 with 6,9 with 2,3,8 with 3,5,10,11 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,5,7,8,12,13 with 9 with 3 with 10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 11 with 2,3,4,5,7,8 with 3 with 10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 11 with 9 with 1,4,5,7 with 10 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 11 with 9 with 3 with 1,2,4,6,7,8,9 $3.50
Total: $72.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 6:04 EDT / 3:04 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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