Saturday, September 14, 2013

9/14/13 Belmont Park Late Pick Four - The Play

OK, so here's my Pick Four strategy for today.  I'm going to key # 7 Medea (Ire) in the opening leg, and make her my single "A" contender in that race.  If she wins, I believe that I'm well covered in the other three races.  However, since I see the first leg as the most competitive of the four, I'm playing the rest of the field as C's; that means that, no matter who wins Race 7, I'm still alive.  But if any horse other than Medea wins Race 7, then I have to be perfect the rest of the way; which means that # 2 Discreet Marq must beat # 1 Emollient in Race 9, The Garden City.

So with that, here's what the tickets look like:

Play this one for a dollar:

RACE 7: 7

RACE 8: 3, 6


RACE 9: 2


RACE 10: 6, 9, 12


Cost: $6.00

Play these for fifty cents:


RACE 7: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9

RACE 8: 3, 6


RACE 9: 2


RACE 10: 6, 9, 12


Cost: $24.00

RACE 7: 7

RACE 8: 4


RACE 9: 2


RACE 10: 6, 9, 12


Cost: $1.50

RACE 7: 7

RACE 8: 3, 6


RACE 9: 1, 4, 6


RACE 10: 6, 9, 12


Cost: $9.00

RACE 7: 7

RACE 8: 3, 6


RACE 9: 2


RACE 10: 4, 7, 11


Cost: $6.00

TOTAL COST: $43.50

Post time for Race 7 is 4:37 EDT / 1:37 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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