9/2/13 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Three out of four.  I'm sensing a trend here.

Actually, three out of four is more than just a little misleading; as the one we missed we never really had a chance of having (unless we had decided to go "ALL" in that leg).  But let's not get too far ahead of ourselves.

Race 8 saw us get off to a good start, as one of our two "A" selections, # 2 Minds Eyes (4.40) finished a neck in front of our other "A", # 5 Heir Kitty (3.80).  At least as good, we handicapped this one well enough to not give "A" contender status to the Post Time Favorite, # 4 Hail Mary (1.40*), as the pace meltdown we anticipated came to pass.

We had the winner in Race 9, # 1 Ethnic Dance (5.90), as one of our "C" selections.  Ethnic Dance did what we anticipated he might in our analysis, as he took control of a paceless group and led them gate to wire around the track.  However, since we had him as a "C", it meant we had to work without a net in the final two legs, and get our "A" contenders home.

And we did just that in Race 11, as our lone "A" contender in that leg, # 11 With a Miracle (2.40*) took the finale by finishing a half length in front of # 8 Gelila (7.80).  So if we could have clicked with either of our two "A" selections in the third leg of the Pick Four, we would have collected.

But we did not; as we did not do a good job of handicapping Race 10.  We had anticipated that the first time starters would have an edge in this one, and thus made two of them, # 8 Missing Groom (6.90) and # 5 Oh Daddy Oh (1.10*) our "A" selections for the race.  But while we did accurately pick the two first time starters that would run the best out of the four debuters in this contest, we were totally off base as to how the experienced runners would perform; as all four slots in the Superfecta were filled by entrants who had previously competed; with # 2 Storm Reveler (30.50) crossing the wire first, winning the photo from # 7 California Jade (14.30), with # 4 Ajac (3.60) less than a length behind.  So we totally blew that one; not just by not even considering either of the two horses that made up the Quinella, but by totally misreading the ability of the experienced runners in the field relative to those competing for the first time.

So while we were holding this ticket with three of the four winners:

RACE 8: 2, 5

RACE 9: 1, 3, 6, 8

RACE 10: 5, 8

RACE 11: 11

Cost: $8.00

in the end it was just as worthless as the others we were holding, giving us a net loss of $40.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Those who did have the correct winning sequence of  2 / 1 / 2 / 11  were rewarded with a payout of $5,148.95 for their fifty cent wager.  And among those who did have it were my good buddy Justin T, who had the handicapping smarts to use # 2 Storm Reveler in Race 10 as an "A" selection.  May God bless Justin T and all others who had it as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo