RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Seaside Glory (Morning Line 12-1)
# 2 Oh Great Idea (ML 5-2)
# 8 Corps de Ballet (ML 15-1)
# 10 Shakti (ML 7-2)
B's
# 5 Flying Tinkerbell (ML 15-1)
# 9 Two Steps of Glory (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Forever Darling (ML 8-1)
# 4 One Last Shot (ML 3-1)
None of the horses on the Also Eligible List (#11 Miss Priss (ML 20-1); # 12 Asian's Way (No Line); # 13 My Dynamo (ML 20-1); # 14 Touch and Smile (ML 5-1)) draw in.
This one is for two year old fillies, with eight of the ten runners going to the post for the first time in their respective careers. There seems to be a lot of young talent here; I'll be very much surprised if this contest doesn't turn into a key race.
Seaside Glory is a first time starter trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, who wins approximately thirty percent of the time that he sends out a debut runner. Oh Great Idea and Shakti are two first time starters trained by Peter Miller. Both Oh Great Idea and Shakti have posted bullet workouts over this main track within the past two weeks. Corps de Ballet, another first time starter, is sired by Speightstown, whose progeny win approximately seventeen percent of their debut tries. Note that Seaside Glory is also sired by Speightstown.
One Last Shot, a debut runner trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Martin Garcia, is sired by Any Given Saturday, whose progeny win at first asking slightly less than eleven percent of the time. The concern with One Last Shot is the almost two week gap between her works of 7/11 and 7/24.
Flying Tinkerbell is a first time starter that has earned a pair of bullet works over the Del Mar main track. Two Steps of Glory is sired by Two Step Salsa, whose get win nearly twenty percent of their debuts. Forever Darling is a first time starter sired by Congrats, whose offspring win approximately twelve percent of their debuts.
RACE 8 - (F) The Clement L Hirsch (Grade 1) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Beholder (ML 6-5)
B's
None
C's
None
# 9 Gusto Dolce (Uru) (ML 20-1) has been scratched.
Beholder is the best horse in this race. If Beholder brings her "A" game, she wins. If Beholder brings her "B" game, she probably still wins. So this is our play; if Beholder loses, then so do we, as she's going to be the only runner from this contest on our tickets.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Old Man Lake (ML 8-1)
# 6 Downtown C. T. (ML 10-1)
B’s
# 5 Just Kidding (ML 5-1)
# 7 Perfect Set (ML 3-1)
# 8 Smooth Roller (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Yahoo Tahoe (ML 10-1)
# 4 Seeking the West (ML 5-1)
# 10 Red Button (ML 10-1)
Old Man Lake took the Show against state-bred stakes company last time out. Downtown C. T. took the Place at this approximate class level last time out.
Just Kidding is trying winners for the first time; but he has been showing consistent steady improvement since moving to two turn races on the dirt. Perfect Set, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, has shown sharp improvement since donning the blinkers. Smooth Roller won his career debut last time out, earning a Beyer Speed Figure in the process that fits in well with these.
Yahoo Tahoe fits well with this group on class; but the switch to real dirt from the synthetic surface is a concern. Seeking the West has settled for a lot of minor awards in the past; maybe the light bulb turns on today. Red Button is getting some huge class relief here; though Red Button's best races heretofore have been on the grass.
RACE 10 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Second Summer (ML 6-1)
# 7 Dylan Ward (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Rosicky (ML 7-2)
# 5 Mixio (ML 20-1)
# 11 Tirpitz (ML 5-1)
Second Summer closed well and took the Show at this class level in his only prior career try on the grass, which was over this turf course. Dylan Ward, now trained by Phil D'Amato, took the Place at this class level last time out.
Rosicky, who finished in the money in all four of his prior career starts, tries the grass for the first time. Mixio is a first time starter sired by Arch, whose progeny win approximately eleven percent of the time at first asking. Tirpitz has twice finished in the money at this class level, both times charging down the Santa Anita hill.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1,2,8,10 with 1 with 3,6 with 4,7 $16.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,8,9,10 with 1 with 3,5,6,7,8 with 4,7 $30.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 1 with 3,6 with 4,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 1,2,8,10 with 1 with 1,4,10 with 4,7 $12.00
$0.50 P4: 1,2,8,10 with 1 with 3,6 with 1,5,11 $12.00
Total: $74.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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